沙田 · 2019-11-23
第 5場
2019-11-23沙田第5場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的ELITE PATCH勝出，贏出4。FANTASTIC FEELING獲得亞軍；BEST ALLIANCE獲得季軍。頭馬以2.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ELITE PATCH B/H/TT 1.08.22 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 2.3 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | FANTASTIC FEELING N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 11 | 125.0 | 4 |
| 3 | 12 | BEST ALLIANCE XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 41.0 | 5 |
| 4 | 5 | TEAM FORTUNE B/TT G van Niekerk · W Y So | G van Niekerk | W Y So | 9 | 19.0 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | MEGA RED B M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 4 | 9.1 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | MR WEALTH H/P R Bayliss · K L Man | R Bayliss | K L Man | 6 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | HANDSOME REBEL B/H2 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 10 | 25.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | STAR MAJESTIC B M F Poon · P O'Sullivan | M F Poon | P O'Sullivan | 5 | 20.0 | 10 |
| 9 | 9 | MOMENTUM GALAXY H/P M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 8 | 10.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | FANTASTIC FABIO H T Mo · C H Yip | H T Mo | C H Yip | 1 | 19.0 | 13 |
| 11 | 6 | STAR LUCK C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 3 | 3.9 | 13-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | CHAMP PATROL A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 2 | 122.0 | 15-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ELITE PATCH | 15.8% | 6.31 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | STAR LUCK | 15.5% | 6.44 | 11 |
| 3 | 9 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 10.3% | 9.75 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | MR WEALTH | 9.8% | 10.21 | 6 |
| 5 | 11 | FANTASTIC FABIO | 9.8% | 10.25 | 10 |
| 6 | 10 | STAR MAJESTIC | 8.4% | 11.92 | 8 |
| 7 | 4 | HANDSOME REBEL | 6.4% | 15.64 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | MEGA RED | 6.1% | 16.40 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | CHAMP PATROL | 6.0% | 16.72 | 12 |
| 10 | 5 | TEAM FORTUNE | 5.7% | 17.54 | 4 |
| 11 | 2 | FANTASTIC FEELING | 3.5% | 28.86 | 2 |
| 12 | 12 | BEST ALLIANCE | 2.8% | 35.85 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 23
PLACE
2 199.5
7 13
12 88.5
QUINELLA
2,7 1,352
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 382
2,12 2,598.5
7,12 167.5
TIERCE
7,2,12 19,117
TRIO
2,7,12 8,793
FIRST 4
2,5,7,12 19,617
QUARTET
7,2,12,5 323,483
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 14.5
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
4TH DOUBLE
8/2 2,307.5
8/7 278