沙田 · 2019-11-23
第 9場
2019-11-23沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、P F Yiu訓練的PRECIOUSSHIP勝出，贏出3/4。BAND OF BROTHERS獲得亞軍；SMART PATCH獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.5倍大熱門PACKING WARRIOR跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | PRECIOUSSHIP 後段發力 XB 1.33.89 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 12 | 7.8 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | BAND OF BROTHERS 後段發力 A Badel · P O'Sullivan | A Badel | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | SMART PATCH 後段發力 B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 9 | 23.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | PACKING WARRIOR 後段發力 B/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 6 | 2.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | GO BALLISTIC 後段發力 SR N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 11 | 168.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 14 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE 後段發力 XB U Rispoli · C W Chang | U Rispoli | C W Chang | 3 | 8.4 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | FENRIR 後段發力 H/SR1/TT R Bayliss · K H Ting | R Bayliss | K H Ting | 10 | 74.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | FLYING QUEST 後段發力 B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 13 | 37.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | GUY DRAGON XB/TT C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 1 | 5.9 | 5 |
| 10 | 5 | CHARITY GO H B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 5 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | WIN WIN B M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 7 | 23.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | LOOKING GOOD B G van Niekerk · F C Lor | G van Niekerk | F C Lor | 4 | 15.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 3 | SICHUAN DAR B A Sanna · A T Millard | A Sanna | A T Millard | 2 | 44.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 11 | ENZEMBLE 早段領放 XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 8 | 119.0 | 18-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BAND OF BROTHERS | 19.9% | 5.03 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | PACKING WARRIOR | 19.3% | 5.19 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | GUY DRAGON | 18.5% | 5.41 | 9 |
| 4 | 13 | LOOKING GOOD | 7.7% | 13.03 | 12 |
| 5 | 4 | PRECIOUSSHIP | 7.0% | 14.29 | 1 |
| 6 | 14 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 6.8% | 14.65 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | SMART PATCH | 4.9% | 20.30 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | FLYING QUEST | 3.6% | 27.47 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | CHARITY GO | 3.0% | 33.16 | 10 |
| 10 | 9 | FENRIR | 2.6% | 39.09 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | WIN WIN | 2.4% | 41.18 | 11 |
| 12 | 3 | SICHUAN DAR | 1.9% | 51.55 | 13 |
| 13 | 10 | GO BALLISTIC | 1.7% | 58.50 | 5 |
| 14 | 11 | ENZEMBLE | 0.7% | 148.03 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 78.5
PLACE
1 31
4 27
12 50.5
QUINELLA
1,4 327
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 122.5
1,12 262.5
4,12 196
TIERCE
4,1,12 8,589
TRIO
1,4,12 304
FIRST 4
1,2,4,12 1,134
QUARTET
4,1,12,2 34,929
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 27.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
9/1 74
9/4 392.5