沙田 · 2019-12-29
第 4場
2019-12-29沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為WET SLOW。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的CLEAR CHOICE勝出，贏出SH。BEST ALLIANCE獲得亞軍；FOODIE PRINCESS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.2倍大熱門THIS ONE'S FOR YOU跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CLEAR CHOICE 後段發力 B/TT 1.39.45 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 6.9 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | BEST ALLIANCE 後段發力 XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 7 | 4.1 | SH |
| 3 | 13 | FOODIE PRINCESS 後段發力 H/TT T H So · W Y So | T H So | W Y So | 10 | 22.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 11 | THIS ONE'S FOR YOU 後段發力 H-/B M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 4 | 3.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | DRAGON COMMANDER 後段發力 B N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 9 | 25.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 14 | MEGATRON B/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 8 | 29.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | STARLIT KNIGHT 後段發力 S De Sousa · Y S Tsui | S De Sousa | Y S Tsui | 14 | 47.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND 早段領放 TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 6 | 8.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | GOOD FIT PC/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 2 | 11.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | GREEN GENERATION 後段發力 B C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 12 | 220.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | VIVA COUNCIL V-/H2 M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 13 | 26.0 | 13 |
| 12 | 9 | WAYFOONG CHARMER BO C Schofield · P O'Sullivan | C Schofield | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 36.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW B/H K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 1 | 36.0 | 16 |
| 14 | 2 | TANG FLEMING B/TT H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 3 | 15.0 | 32-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CLEAR CHOICE | 13.7% | 7.30 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | BEST ALLIANCE | 11.3% | 8.83 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | THIS ONE'S FOR YOU | 10.6% | 9.41 | 4 |
| 4 | 14 | MEGATRON | 9.7% | 10.26 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | GOOD FIT | 8.9% | 11.23 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND | 8.6% | 11.57 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | STARLIT KNIGHT | 7.5% | 13.35 | 7 |
| 8 | 6 | VIVA COUNCIL | 6.0% | 16.72 | 11 |
| 9 | 9 | WAYFOONG CHARMER | 5.4% | 18.47 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW | 5.0% | 19.96 | 13 |
| 11 | 13 | FOODIE PRINCESS | 4.8% | 20.89 | 3 |
| 12 | 4 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 4.8% | 20.90 | 5 |
| 13 | 2 | TANG FLEMING | 2.6% | 38.59 | 14 |
| 14 | 12 | GREEN GENERATION | 1.0% | 99.70 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 69
PLACE
1 20.5
3 21
13 49.5
QUINELLA
1,3 166
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 70.5
1,13 198
3,13 150
TIERCE
1,3,13 4,776
TRIO
1,3,13 909
FIRST 4
1,3,11,13 459
QUARTET
1,3,13,11 14,295
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,11/1,3,13 157,032
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 30
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
4/1 2,305.5
4/3 264.5