沙田 · 2019-12-29
第 5場
2019-12-29沙田第5場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由S De Sousa策騎、P F Yiu訓練的SHINING GEM勝出，贏出2-1/4。BALTIC SUCCESS獲得亞軍；BE READY獲得季軍。頭馬以2.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SHINING GEM CP 1.09.72 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 6 | 2.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | BALTIC SUCCESS TT1 G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 4 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 2 | BE READY CP1 C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 10 | 9.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT CP/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 11 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | HARRIER JET V/TT T H So · P O'Sullivan | T H So | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 73.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | KUNG FU FIGHTER Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 7.1 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | INFINITY ENDEAVOUR P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 13 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B/H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE H/V M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 1 | 8.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | ELIGERE H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 7 | 200.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | FIRST RESPONDER CP/TT B Shinn · J Moore | B Shinn | J Moore | 12 | 17.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | E MASTER V/XB L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 5 | 63.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | CALIFORNIA LEVEE CP/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 18.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | ARDENODE TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 14 | 190.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | KUNG FU FIGHTER | 24.7% | 4.05 | 6 |
| 2 | 9 | SHINING GEM | 13.3% | 7.52 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | BE READY | 10.7% | 9.32 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 10.5% | 9.49 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | FIRST RESPONDER | 9.1% | 10.95 | 11 |
| 6 | 7 | CALIFORNIA LEVEE | 7.6% | 13.12 | 13 |
| 7 | 6 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 7.3% | 13.71 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | INFINITY ENDEAVOUR | 4.8% | 20.77 | 7 |
| 9 | 13 | SUMSTREETSUMWHERE | 3.8% | 26.56 | 9 |
| 10 | 14 | ARDENODE | 2.2% | 45.27 | 14 |
| 11 | 11 | HARRIER JET | 1.6% | 61.74 | 5 |
| 12 | 12 | E MASTER | 1.5% | 65.00 | 12 |
| 13 | 5 | ELIGERE | 1.5% | 68.03 | 10 |
| 14 | 4 | BALTIC SUCCESS | 1.3% | 77.10 | 2 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 24.5
PLACE
2 29
4 36
9 13
QUINELLA
4,9 188.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 215
2,9 62
4,9 74.5
TIERCE
9,4,2 3,665
TRIO
2,4,9 599
FIRST 4
2,4,9,10 1,035
QUARTET
9,4,2,10 20,812
3 PICK 1
A1 19.5
A2 —
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
4TH DOUBLE
1/4 239.5
1/9 297