沙田 · 2019-12-29
第 8場
2019-12-29沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、D J Whyte訓練的FALCON TURBO勝出，贏出SH。MONGOLIAN KING獲得亞軍；EVERYONE'S JOY獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。3.5倍大熱門EVERYONE'S JOY跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | FALCON TURBO 一路領先 B 1.22.37 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 5.3 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | MONGOLIAN KING 後段發力 G van Niekerk · Y S Tsui | G van Niekerk | Y S Tsui | 10 | 10.0 | SH |
| 3 | 11 | EVERYONE'S JOY 後段發力 XB/CP1/TT C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 3 | 3.5 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | SUCH A HAPPINESS 後段發力 M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 13 | 26.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | HANG'S DECISION 後段發力 B/H K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 5 | 32.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | NAMJONG PLUS 後段發力 N Callan · Y S Tsui | N Callan | Y S Tsui | 1 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | SEERITE DRAGON 後段發力 Z Purton · D E Ferraris | Z Purton | D E Ferraris | 14 | 30.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | DEFINING MOMENT 後段發力 M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 8 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | BEAUTY ICON B/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 11 | 26.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | MR WEALTH H/P C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 7 | 12.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | SUPER BULLET M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 49.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 2 | WIND N GRASS S De Sousa · J Size | S De Sousa | J Size | 2 | 5.1 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 6 | EARTH TRILOGY CP/XB/TT1 L Hewitson · J Moore | L Hewitson | J Moore | 12 | 31.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | SALTO OLIMPICO B T H So · D J Hall | T H So | D J Hall | 6 | 188.0 | 12-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | EVERYONE'S JOY | 15.4% | 6.50 | 3 |
| 2 | 13 | FALCON TURBO | 12.0% | 8.35 | 1 |
| 3 | 14 | SUCH A HAPPINESS | 11.0% | 9.10 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | WIND N GRASS | 10.4% | 9.61 | 12 |
| 5 | 12 | DEFINING MOMENT | 9.2% | 10.84 | 8 |
| 6 | 3 | MR WEALTH | 7.3% | 13.67 | 10 |
| 7 | 4 | MONGOLIAN KING | 6.1% | 16.36 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | BEAUTY ICON | 6.1% | 16.41 | 9 |
| 9 | 1 | NAMJONG PLUS | 5.9% | 17.02 | 6 |
| 10 | 5 | SEERITE DRAGON | 5.7% | 17.51 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | SUPER BULLET | 5.1% | 19.48 | 11 |
| 12 | 10 | SALTO OLIMPICO | 2.5% | 39.86 | 14 |
| 13 | 9 | HANG'S DECISION | 1.9% | 51.89 | 5 |
| 14 | 6 | EARTH TRILOGY | 1.3% | 74.27 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 53.5
PLACE
4 27
11 17.5
13 17
QUINELLA
4,13 253
QUINELLA PLACE
4,11 65
4,13 83
11,13 40.5
TIERCE
13,4,11 1,454
TRIO
4,11,13 216
FIRST 4
4,11,13,14 791
QUARTET
13,4,11,14 15,872
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 21.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
7/4 60
7/13 171.5