Sha Tin · 2019-12-29
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CLEAR CHOICE Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 6.9 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | BEST ALLIANCE Closed strongly XB A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 7 | 4.1 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | FOODIE PRINCESS Closed strongly H/TT T H So · W Y So | T H So | W Y So | 10 | 22.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | THIS ONE'S FOR YOU Closed strongly H-/B M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 4 | 3.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER Closed strongly B N Callan · D E Ferraris | N Callan | D E Ferraris | 9 | 25.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MEGATRON B/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 8 | 29.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | STARLIT KNIGHT Closed strongly S De Sousa · Y S Tsui | S De Sousa | Y S Tsui | 14 | 47.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND Led early TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 6 | 8.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | GOOD FIT PC/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 2 | 11.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | GREEN GENERATION Closed strongly B C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 12 | 220.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | VIVA COUNCIL V-/H2 M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 13 | 26.0 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | WAYFOONG CHARMER BO C Schofield · P O'Sullivan | C Schofield | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 36.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW B/H K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 1 | 36.0 | 16 |
| 14 | 0 | TANG FLEMING B/TT H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 3 | 15.0 | 32-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2019-12-29 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on WET SLOW going. CLEAR CHOICE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with BEST ALLIANCE second and FOODIE PRINCESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite THIS ONE'S FOR YOU finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CLEAR CHOICE | 13.7% | 7.30 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | BEST ALLIANCE | 11.3% | 8.83 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | THIS ONE'S FOR YOU | 10.6% | 9.41 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | MEGATRON | 9.7% | 10.26 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | GOOD FIT | 8.9% | 11.23 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | CALIFORNIA LEGEND | 8.6% | 11.57 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | STARLIT KNIGHT | 7.5% | 13.35 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | VIVA COUNCIL | 6.0% | 16.72 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | WAYFOONG CHARMER | 5.4% | 18.47 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW | 5.0% | 19.96 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | FOODIE PRINCESS | 4.8% | 20.89 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | DRAGON COMMANDER | 4.8% | 20.90 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | TANG FLEMING | 2.6% | 38.59 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | GREEN GENERATION | 1.0% | 99.70 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 69
PLACE
1 20.5
3 21
13 49.5
QUINELLA
1,3 166
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 70.5
1,13 198
3,13 150
TIERCE
1,3,13 4,776
TRIO
1,3,13 909
FIRST 4
1,3,11,13 459
QUARTET
1,3,13,11 14,295
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,11/1,3,13 157,032
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 30
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
4/1 2,305.5
4/3 264.5