Sha Tin · 2019-12-29
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KEEP WINNING Closed strongly TT 1.40.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 8 | 9.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER RED DRAGON Closed strongly H/B1/TT C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 5 | 4.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | MI BLANCO Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · P O'Sullivan | A Badel | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | HIDDEN SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · P O'Sullivan | K Teetan | P O'Sullivan | 2 | 6.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | SKY GEM Closed strongly V-/P1/TT R Bayliss · C Fownes | R Bayliss | C Fownes | 9 | 38.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | MASTER BERNINI Closed strongly B S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 6 | 4.2 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | OUR GREEN B T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 4 | 41.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | KEEP GOING H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 13 | 36.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | SUNNY MAJOR B/H H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | 3 | 39.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | CORRE RAPIDO B M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 12 | 38.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | ASSOCIATION FANS H/SR/V1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 10 | 24.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | TRIUMPHANT LORD Led early TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 1 | 13.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | WINNING CIRCLE PC-/H1/B2/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 7 | 7.3 | 16-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | BOND ELEGANCE B-/P2 M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 11 | 24.0 | 34 |
| — | 0 | DRAGON WARRIOR A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2019-12-29 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on WET SLOW going. KEEP WINNING, ridden by K C Leung and trained by C W Chang, won by 1-1/2, with SUPER RED DRAGON second and MI BLANCO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.2 favourite MASTER BERNINI finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MASTER BERNINI | 22.6% | 4.42 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 15.3% | 6.53 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | KEEP WINNING | 11.4% | 8.74 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | WINNING CIRCLE | 8.0% | 12.50 | 13 |
| 5 | 0 | ASSOCIATION FANS | 6.7% | 14.87 | 11 |
| 6 | 0 | MI BLANCO | 5.5% | 18.33 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | SKY GEM | 5.4% | 18.59 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | TRIUMPHANT LORD | 5.2% | 19.36 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | KEEP GOING | 4.6% | 21.72 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | BOND ELEGANCE | 3.7% | 26.74 | 14 |
| 11 | 0 | CORRE RAPIDO | 3.6% | 27.50 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | HIDDEN SPIRIT | 3.2% | 30.92 | 4 |
| 13 | 0 | OUR GREEN | 2.5% | 39.48 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | SUNNY MAJOR | 2.1% | 46.74 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 93.5
PLACE
1 19
6 44.5
8 34
QUINELLA
1,8 264.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 137.5
1,8 98.5
6,8 233
TIERCE
8,1,6 8,805
TRIO
1,6,8 1,152
FIRST 4
1,5,6,8 1,652
QUARTET
8,1,6,5 55,913
1ST DOUBLE
2/1 15
2/8 198
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 25
A3 —
A1 —