Sha Tin · 2019-12-29
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LAST KINGDOM Wire to wire P/XB 1.40.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 8 | 25.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | TRAVEL FIRST Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 9 | 12.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE Closed strongly XB A Badel · C W Chang | A Badel | C W Chang | 6 | 3.9 | N |
| 4 | 0 | VOLPINO Closed strongly H/XB/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 3 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPY SEBRING Closed strongly B-/PC2/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 13 | 8.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | ENFOLDING Closed strongly V S De Sousa · C Fownes | S De Sousa | C Fownes | 11 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | ENDEARING PC/TT N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 10 | 33.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | HOLY HEART Closed strongly H/TT M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 5 | 5.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | NATURAL WINNER M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 1 | 102.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GENERAL DINO B G van Niekerk · D E Ferraris | G van Niekerk | D E Ferraris | 12 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | DEAL MAKER H C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 4 | 5.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | MONGOLIAN LEGEND H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 2 | 16.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | SOLOMON'S BAY CP-/XB K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 74.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | SACRED IBIS BO B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 14 | 69.0 | 13 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2019-12-29 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on WET SLOW going. LAST KINGDOM, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with TRAVEL FIRST second and RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE third. The winner led throughout. The 3.9 favourite RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VOLPINO | 16.5% | 6.08 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | DEAL MAKER | 11.3% | 8.82 | 11 |
| 3 | 0 | ENFOLDING | 10.4% | 9.59 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | HOLY HEART | 9.6% | 10.45 | 8 |
| 5 | 0 | MONGOLIAN LEGEND | 9.4% | 10.66 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY SEBRING | 8.9% | 11.18 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | RIGHTEOUS DOCTRINE | 7.3% | 13.70 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | SOLOMON'S BAY | 6.1% | 16.32 | 13 |
| 9 | 0 | ENDEARING | 5.5% | 18.29 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | GENERAL DINO | 3.9% | 25.50 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | TRAVEL FIRST | 3.3% | 30.58 | 2 |
| 12 | 0 | LAST KINGDOM | 3.2% | 31.63 | 1 |
| 13 | 0 | SACRED IBIS | 3.0% | 33.74 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | NATURAL WINNER | 1.7% | 60.00 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 250
PLACE
7 60.5
11 18.5
14 36.5
QUINELLA
7,14 1,517.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,11 175.5
7,14 466.5
11,14 96
TIERCE
7,14,11 17,807
TRIO
7,11,14 1,523
FIRST 4
6,7,11,14 4,661
QUARTET
7,14,11,6 176,384
3 PICK 1
A3 23
A2 —
A1 —
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,11/7,11,14 69,280
9TH DOUBLE
6/7 873.5
6/14 202.5
SIX UP
4,9/4,12/5,7/4,13/1,6/7,14 8,539
9/4/7/13/6/7 183,763
TREBLE
13/6/7 5,605
13/6/14 772