Sha Tin · 2019-12-29
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MIGHTY GIANT Closed strongly B 1.22.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 4 | 3.8 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | FANTASTIC SHOW Closed strongly G van Niekerk · Y S Tsui | G van Niekerk | Y S Tsui | 7 | 4.1 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | CARE FREE PRINCE Led early B K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 11 | 56.0 | N |
| 4 | 0 | BREEZE OF SPRING Closed strongly H Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 3 | 3.8 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | IRON KING Closed strongly M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 5 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | WINNING TOGETHER Closed strongly B/TT1 C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 13 | 35.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SMART CHARADE Closed strongly B/H/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 6 | 38.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | WINSTON'S LAD H R Bayliss · K W Lui | R Bayliss | K W Lui | 9 | 28.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | BRIGHT KID Closed strongly B/XB S De Sousa · D J Whyte | S De Sousa | D J Whyte | 8 | 8.3 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SPEEDY WALLY Closed strongly TT H N Wong · C Fownes | H N Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 161.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | GALA NIGHT CP1 N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 1 | 21.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED B/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 66.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | HUMBLE STEED Closed strongly M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 14 | 237.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | CALIFORNIA RAD TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 12.0 | 12 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2019-12-29 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MIGHTY GIANT, ridden by H W Lai and trained by P F Yiu, won by SH, with FANTASTIC SHOW second and CARE FREE PRINCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BREEZE OF SPRING | 17.4% | 5.75 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 15.0% | 6.68 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | BRIGHT KID | 14.1% | 7.10 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | GALA NIGHT | 11.8% | 8.45 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | MIGHTY GIANT | 8.9% | 11.20 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 6.3% | 15.85 | 14 |
| 7 | 0 | IRON KING | 5.9% | 16.99 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED | 5.1% | 19.74 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | WINNING TOGETHER | 4.6% | 21.67 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | SMART CHARADE | 3.4% | 29.11 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | WINSTON'S LAD | 2.7% | 37.38 | 8 |
| 12 | 0 | SPEEDY WALLY | 2.3% | 43.02 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | CARE FREE PRINCE | 1.4% | 70.55 | 3 |
| 14 | 0 | HUMBLE STEED | 1.1% | 94.78 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 38
PLACE
4 14
8 111.5
12 17
QUINELLA
4,12 78.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 357
4,12 30
8,12 354.5
TIERCE
4,12,8 4,475
TRIO
4,8,12 1,113
FIRST 4
4,6,8,12 1,016
QUARTET
4,12,8,6 24,295
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 20
A2 —
All pools (2 more)
5TH DOUBLE
9/4 114
9/12 23.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,13/2,4,9/Any Combination 27,512