Sha Tin · 2019-12-29
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GLORIOUS ARTIST Closed strongly 1.38.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 4.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | ELUSIVE STATE Closed strongly TT S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 8 | 4.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | BUDDIES Led early H-/TT G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 10 | 5.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | RAGING BLITZKRIEG H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 2 | 7.1 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | PLAYA DEL PUENTE Closed strongly SR/TT C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 13 | 8.7 | 6-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GREEN LUCK Closed strongly B/H M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 6 | 33.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | MORETHANLUCKY B M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 9 | 78.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | SAVVY NINE Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · J Moore | L Hewitson | J Moore | 11 | 77.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | GUNNISON B Shinn · J Size | B Shinn | J Size | 3 | 9.8 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | TURIN REDSTAR CP/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 5 | 22.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | UGLY WARRIOR B N Callan · Y S Tsui | N Callan | Y S Tsui | 7 | 23.0 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | BRAVE LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 64.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | CIRCUIT GLORY H/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 4 | 31.0 | 31-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2019-12-29 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on WET SLOW going. GLORIOUS ARTIST, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with ELUSIVE STATE second and BUDDIES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite ELUSIVE STATE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BUDDIES | 30.6% | 3.27 | 3 |
| 2 | 0 | GLORIOUS ARTIST | 14.3% | 6.97 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | PLAYA DEL PUENTE | 9.8% | 10.21 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | RAGING BLITZKRIEG | 8.8% | 11.30 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | BRAVE LEGEND | 5.6% | 17.86 | 12 |
| 6 | 0 | TURIN REDSTAR | 5.3% | 18.76 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | GREEN LUCK | 5.3% | 18.81 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | ELUSIVE STATE | 4.2% | 23.66 | 2 |
| 9 | 0 | UGLY WARRIOR | 4.1% | 24.46 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | CIRCUIT GLORY | 3.4% | 29.44 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | GUNNISON | 3.3% | 29.87 | 9 |
| 12 | 0 | MORETHANLUCKY | 3.2% | 31.72 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | SAVVY NINE | 1.9% | 51.43 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 41
PLACE
1 16
6 16.5
11 18
QUINELLA
1,6 115.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 43
1,11 31
6,11 44
TIERCE
6,1,11 889
TRIO
1,6,11 112
FIRST 4
1,6,10,11 159
QUARTET
6,1,11,10 4,207
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 20.5
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
13/1 26
13/6 289.5