沙田 · 2020-03-14
第 1場
2020-03-14沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Wong策騎、L Ho訓練的MULTIMAX勝出，贏出SH。THE ABRAXAS獲得亞軍；FOX CHEUNGER獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門RED BRICK FIGHTER跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MULTIMAX B 1.10.17 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Wong · L Ho | C Wong | L Ho | 8 | 26.0 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | THE ABRAXAS B Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 3 | 4.7 | SH |
| 3 | 9 | FOX CHEUNGER B/TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 1 | 25.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | RED BRICK FIGHTER B C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 6 | 2.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | JIMSON THE DRAGON B/XB/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 28.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | FLYING MONKEY TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 2 | 60.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | MONEYMORE C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 4 | 4.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | SUPREME PLUS B/XB J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 10 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | WONDER EXPRESS CP1/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 12 | 23.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | LIGHTNING MISSILE B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 5 | 45.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | TIGERLAD V-/B2 V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 9 | 44.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 1 | I'M THE CONQUIST B G van Niekerk · D J Whyte | G van Niekerk | D J Whyte | 7 | 13.0 | 28-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUPREME PLUS | 27.3% | 3.67 | 8 |
| 2 | 3 | THE ABRAXAS | 14.8% | 6.77 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 10.7% | 9.32 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | I'M THE CONQUIST | 8.5% | 11.70 | 12 |
| 5 | 4 | WONDER EXPRESS | 8.3% | 12.07 | 9 |
| 6 | 5 | MONEYMORE | 7.5% | 13.28 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | FOX CHEUNGER | 6.0% | 16.74 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | MULTIMAX | 5.9% | 16.98 | 1 |
| 9 | 10 | JIMSON THE DRAGON | 4.3% | 23.03 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | LIGHTNING MISSILE | 3.6% | 27.41 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | FLYING MONKEY | 1.7% | 59.26 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | TIGERLAD | 1.3% | 75.59 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 265
PLACE
3 16.5
7 61.5
9 50.5
QUINELLA
3,7 634.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 174.5
3,9 141.5
7,9 627.5
TIERCE
7,3,9 24,961
TRIO
3,7,9 3,450
FIRST 4
3,7,8,9 1,387
QUARTET
7,3,9,8 46,885
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 46.5