沙田 · 2020-03-14
第 6場
2020-03-14沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、C S Shum訓練的SMOOTHIES勝出，贏出SH。HIGH RISE SOLDIER獲得亞軍；EVERYONE'S JOY獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。4.1倍大熱門EVERYONE'S JOY跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SMOOTHIES 一路領先 TT 1.21.59 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 4 | 14.0 | SH |
| 2 | 9 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER 後段發力 H-/B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 6.1 | SH |
| 3 | 10 | EVERYONE'S JOY 後段發力 CP/XB/TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 7 | 4.1 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | ULTIMATE GLORY 後段發力 V Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 14 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | TOYCOON 後段發力 XB M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 5 | 44.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | UNICORNBABY 後段發力 B/TT M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 1 | 9.3 | 1 |
| 7 | 1 | TRIUMPHANT HORSE 後段發力 B/TT1 H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 13 | 39.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | BEAUTY SPIRIT CP/TT B Shinn · A S Cruz | B Shinn | A S Cruz | 11 | 6.4 | 2 |
| 9 | 12 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS 後段發力 TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 12 | 29.0 | 2 |
| 10 | 4 | COOL TEAM 後段發力 B C Wong · P O'Sullivan | C Wong | P O'Sullivan | 8 | 6.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | GOOD FOR YOU 後段發力 B H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 10 | 112.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | FOLLOW ME TT K H Chan · J Size | K H Chan | J Size | 9 | 13.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | HOME MADE B V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 3 | 208.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 5 | SILVER FIG B C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 6 | 13.0 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 0 | HARMONY SPIRIT G van Niekerk · D J Whyte | G van Niekerk | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | EVERYONE'S JOY | 28.0% | 3.57 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | COOL TEAM | 12.0% | 8.32 | 10 |
| 3 | 8 | ULTIMATE GLORY | 9.5% | 10.58 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 7.8% | 12.84 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | SILVER FIG | 7.4% | 13.45 | 14 |
| 6 | 13 | UNICORNBABY | 5.7% | 17.44 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | FOLLOW ME | 5.4% | 18.45 | 12 |
| 8 | 12 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS | 4.8% | 20.67 | 9 |
| 9 | 14 | GOOD FOR YOU | 4.5% | 22.19 | 11 |
| 10 | 1 | TRIUMPHANT HORSE | 4.0% | 24.96 | 7 |
| 11 | 2 | BEAUTY SPIRIT | 3.3% | 30.05 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | TOYCOON | 3.2% | 31.09 | 5 |
| 13 | 7 | SMOOTHIES | 2.8% | 35.16 | 1 |
| 14 | 11 | HOME MADE | 1.4% | 69.85 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 145.5
PLACE
7 48
9 19.5
10 18
QUINELLA
7,9 323.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 91
7,10 137.5
9,10 38
TIERCE
7,9,10 2,643
TRIO
7,9,10 279
FIRST 4
7,8,9,10 534
QUARTET
7,9,10,8 15,097
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 26.5
A1 —
全部彩池（另 3 項）
5TH DOUBLE
10/7 1,171.5
10/9 105.5
TRIPLE TRIO
4,6,8/2,4,10/7,9,10 88,857
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
4,6,8/2,4,10/Any Combination 421