沙田 · 2020-03-14
第 10場
2020-03-14沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、P F Yiu訓練的MIGHTY GIANT勝出，贏出1-3/4。PRIVATE ROCKET獲得亞軍；BEAUTY ICON獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。頭馬以1.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MIGHTY GIANT 一路領先 B 1.21.43 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 3 | 1.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | PRIVATE ROCKET 後段發力 CP/XB G van Niekerk · D J Whyte | G van Niekerk | D J Whyte | 1 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | BEAUTY ICON 後段發力 B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 2 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | PICKEN 後段發力 J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | CRAIG'S STAR B B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 4 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | HELLO BEAUTY B/TT K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 13 | 29.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | MONEY BACK 後段發力 B/XB1 T H So · P O'Sullivan | T H So | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 45.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | THE DRIVE TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 6 | 239.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE 後段發力 B C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 10 | 9.5 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | MONGOLIAN LEGEND 後段發力 P- V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 14 | 69.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | KIRAM H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | 5 | 221.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | HANG'S DECISION B/H H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 11 | 90.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | EVEN KEEL H-/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 8 | 314.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 5 | FEARLESS FIRE B M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 9 | 287.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MIGHTY GIANT | 55.5% | 1.80 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | PICKEN | 9.5% | 10.50 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 7.6% | 13.22 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | CRAIG'S STAR | 6.9% | 14.52 | 5 |
| 5 | 13 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE | 5.9% | 16.91 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | HELLO BEAUTY | 3.5% | 28.55 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | BEAUTY ICON | 2.6% | 37.78 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | MONGOLIAN LEGEND | 2.0% | 49.48 | 10 |
| 9 | 6 | KIRAM | 1.6% | 62.51 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | MONEY BACK | 1.4% | 71.44 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | FEARLESS FIRE | 1.3% | 78.68 | 14 |
| 12 | 12 | HANG'S DECISION | 0.9% | 111.59 | 12 |
| 13 | 9 | THE DRIVE | 0.7% | 140.47 | 8 |
| 14 | 14 | EVEN KEEL | 0.6% | 174.00 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 14
PLACE
3 11
4 22
11 27.5
QUINELLA
3,4 55.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 26
3,11 32
4,11 109.5
TIERCE
3,4,11 379
TRIO
3,4,11 136
FIRST 4
3,4,8,11 256
QUARTET
3,4,11,8 2,365
3 PICK 1
A1 14
A3 —
A2 —
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2>9,10/3,4,11 3,140
9TH DOUBLE
2/3 186
2/4 189
SIX UP
2,10/7,9/2,5/3,4/2,9,10/3,4 7,499
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
4/2/3 4,348
4/2/4 2,633