Sha Tin · 2020-03-14
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-14 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MIGHTY GIANT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-3/4, with PRIVATE ROCKET second and BEAUTY ICON third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 1.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MIGHTY GIANT Wire to wire B 1.21.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 3 | 1.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | PRIVATE ROCKET Closed strongly CP/XB G van Niekerk · D J Whyte | G van Niekerk | D J Whyte | 1 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | BEAUTY ICON Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 2 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | PICKEN Closed strongly J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | CRAIG'S STAR B B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 4 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | HELLO BEAUTY B/TT K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 13 | 29.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | MONEY BACK Closed strongly B/XB1 T H So · P O'Sullivan | T H So | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 45.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | THE DRIVE TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 6 | 239.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE Closed strongly B C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 10 | 9.5 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | MONGOLIAN LEGEND Closed strongly P- V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 14 | 69.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | KIRAM H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | 5 | 221.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | HANG'S DECISION B/H H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 11 | 90.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | EVEN KEEL H-/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 8 | 314.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 5 | FEARLESS FIRE B M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 9 | 287.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MIGHTY GIANT | 55.5% | 1.80 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | PICKEN | 9.5% | 10.50 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 7.6% | 13.22 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | CRAIG'S STAR | 6.9% | 14.52 | 5 |
| 5 | 13 | AMAZING CHOCOLATE | 5.9% | 16.91 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | HELLO BEAUTY | 3.5% | 28.55 | 6 |
| 7 | 11 | BEAUTY ICON | 2.6% | 37.78 | 3 |
| 8 | 10 | MONGOLIAN LEGEND | 2.0% | 49.48 | 10 |
| 9 | 6 | KIRAM | 1.6% | 62.51 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | MONEY BACK | 1.4% | 71.44 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | FEARLESS FIRE | 1.3% | 78.68 | 14 |
| 12 | 12 | HANG'S DECISION | 0.9% | 111.59 | 12 |
| 13 | 9 | THE DRIVE | 0.7% | 140.47 | 8 |
| 14 | 14 | EVEN KEEL | 0.6% | 174.00 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 14
PLACE
3 11
4 22
11 27.5
QUINELLA
3,4 55.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 26
3,11 32
4,11 109.5
TIERCE
3,4,11 379
TRIO
3,4,11 136
FIRST 4
3,4,8,11 256
QUARTET
3,4,11,8 2,365
3 PICK 1
A1 14
A3 —
A2 —
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2>9,10/3,4,11 3,140
9TH DOUBLE
2/3 186
2/4 189
SIX UP
2,10/7,9/2,5/3,4/2,9,10/3,4 7,499
2 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
4/2/3 4,348
4/2/4 2,633