Sha Tin · 2020-03-14
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-14 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. TRANSCENDENT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with FANTASY second and BALLISTIC KING third. The 2.5 favourite FANTASY finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | TRANSCENDENT TT1 1.08.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 12 | 7.9 | N |
| 2 | 10 | FANTASY B/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 8 | 2.5 | N |
| 3 | 1 | BALLISTIC KING C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 6 | 4.9 | N |
| 4 | 12 | UNIQUE TREASURE P K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | KA YING LEGEND TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 10 | 25.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | GOOD BEAUTY CP/TT K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 5 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | VALIANT DREAM B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 1 | 3.4 | 2 |
| 8 | 8 | ELIGERE B V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 3 | 114.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | GOKO B/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 151.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | KING'S HORN B1 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 4 | 156.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | OOGA CHAKA H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 227.0 | 7-3/4 |
| — | 9 | STAR LUCK J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | FANTASY | 23.0% | 4.35 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | VALIANT DREAM | 18.8% | 5.31 | 7 |
| 3 | 3 | GOOD BEAUTY | 15.6% | 6.41 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | TRANSCENDENT | 13.8% | 7.22 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | BALLISTIC KING | 13.5% | 7.43 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | KA YING LEGEND | 4.7% | 21.48 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | KING'S HORN | 3.2% | 30.91 | 10 |
| 8 | 12 | UNIQUE TREASURE | 3.1% | 32.79 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | GOKO | 2.3% | 43.90 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | ELIGERE | 1.2% | 83.38 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | OOGA CHAKA | 0.9% | 116.12 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 79
PLACE
1 14.5
2 24
10 13
QUINELLA
2,10 107
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 77.5
1,10 23.5
2,10 43
TIERCE
2,10,1 926
TRIO
1,2,10 155
FIRST 4
1,2,10,12 251
QUARTET
2,10,1,12 6,222
3 PICK 1
A3 39
A2 —
A1 —
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
4/2 2,050
4/9,10 47.5