Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2020-03-14

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD (AWT) 1800m 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.47.73
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 GALA NIGHT Wire to wire CP 1.47.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · J Moore 9 10.0 N
2 0 FOODIE PRINCESS Closed strongly TT J Moreira · W Y So 7 2.4 N
3 0 CROWN AVENUE Closed strongly V Z Purton · C H Yip 1 5.0 2-1/4
4 0 WILLIE WAY Closed strongly B B Shinn · P O'Sullivan 6 54.0 4-1/4
5 0 THIS ONE'S FOR YOU Closed strongly B C Y Ho · K W Lui 2 3.5 6-1/4
6 0 ENJOYABLE SUCCESS Closed strongly B G van Niekerk · C W Chang 8 24.0 6-3/4
7 0 EXALTATION Closed strongly B/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz 4 144.0 6-3/4
8 0 HAY RUN Closed strongly H T Mo · L Ho 13 66.0 7-1/4
9 0 KING'S MAN V M Chadwick · P F Yiu 14 68.0 8
10 0 GOOD FIT Closed strongly PC/TT H N Wong · F C Lor 5 67.0 9-1/4
11 0 SHADOW BREAKER M L Yeung · K H Ting 10 118.0 9-3/4
12 0 STARLIT KNIGHT C Wong · Y S Tsui 11 69.0 11-1/2
13 0 GENERAL DINO B V Borges · D E Ferraris 3 25.0 14
14 0 MISTER MONTE B M F Poon · C W Chang 12 22.0 14-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-14 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. GALA NIGHT, ridden by K C Leung and trained by J Moore, won by N, with FOODIE PRINCESS second and CROWN AVENUE third. The winner led throughout. The 2.4 favourite FOODIE PRINCESS finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GALA NIGHT—2. FOODIE PRINCESS+0.05L3. CROWN AVENUE+2.25L4. WILLIE WAY+4.25L5. THIS ONE'S FOR YOU+6.25L6. ENJOYABLE SUCCESS+6.75L7. EXALTATION+6.75L8. HAY RUN+7.25L9. KING'S MAN+8L10. GOOD FIT+9.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick FOODIE PRINCESS (29.0%) finished 2nd — the winner GALA NIGHT was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 FOODIE PRINCESS 29.0% 3.44 2
2 0 THIS ONE'S FOR YOU 19.4% 5.16 5
3 0 CROWN AVENUE 15.9% 6.29 3
4 0 GALA NIGHT 9.4% 10.66 1
5 0 ENJOYABLE SUCCESS 4.4% 22.77 6
6 0 STARLIT KNIGHT 3.7% 27.36 12
7 0 HAY RUN 3.6% 28.03 8
8 0 SHADOW BREAKER 3.3% 30.49 11
9 0 MISTER MONTE 2.9% 34.65 14
10 0 EXALTATION 2.2% 45.51 7
11 0 KING'S MAN 2.1% 47.17 9
12 0 GOOD FIT 2.0% 50.49 10
13 0 GENERAL DINO 1.5% 65.50 13
14 0 WILLIE WAY 0.7% 142.49 4
FOODIE PRINCESSTHIS ONE'S FOR YOUCROWN AVENUEGALA NIGHT — wonENJOYABLE SUCCESSSTARLIT KNIGHTHAY RUNSHADOW BREAKERMISTER MONTEEXALTATIONKING'S MANGOOD FITGENERAL DINOWILLIE WAY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 106

PLACE

2 14

4 15.5

10 23.5

QUINELLA

2,10 140.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 29.5

2,10 56.5

4,10 82

TIERCE

10,2,4 2,087

TRIO

2,4,10 221

FIRST 4

2,4,8,10 1,559

QUARTET

10,2,4,8 44,322

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 17.5

A3 —

All pools (1 more)

4TH DOUBLE

4/2 10.5

4/10 170.5