沙田 · 2020-03-14
第 5場
2020-03-14沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由K C Leung策騎、J Moore訓練的GALA NIGHT勝出，贏出N。FOODIE PRINCESS獲得亞軍；CROWN AVENUE獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。2.4倍大熱門FOODIE PRINCESS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | GALA NIGHT 一路領先 CP 1.47.73 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 9 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 2 | FOODIE PRINCESS 後段發力 TT J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 7 | 2.4 | N |
| 3 | 4 | CROWN AVENUE 後段發力 V Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 1 | 5.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | WILLIE WAY 後段發力 B B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 54.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | THIS ONE'S FOR YOU 後段發力 B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 3.5 | 6-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS 後段發力 B G van Niekerk · C W Chang | G van Niekerk | C W Chang | 8 | 24.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | EXALTATION 後段發力 B/TT C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 4 | 144.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | HAY RUN 後段發力 H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 13 | 66.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | KING'S MAN V M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 14 | 68.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | GOOD FIT 後段發力 PC/TT H N Wong · F C Lor | H N Wong | F C Lor | 5 | 67.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | SHADOW BREAKER M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 10 | 118.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | STARLIT KNIGHT C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 11 | 69.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 13 | 1 | GENERAL DINO B V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 3 | 25.0 | 14 |
| 14 | 11 | MISTER MONTE B M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 12 | 22.0 | 14-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FOODIE PRINCESS | 29.0% | 3.44 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | THIS ONE'S FOR YOU | 19.4% | 5.16 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | CROWN AVENUE | 15.9% | 6.29 | 3 |
| 4 | 10 | GALA NIGHT | 9.4% | 10.66 | 1 |
| 5 | 13 | ENJOYABLE SUCCESS | 4.4% | 22.77 | 6 |
| 6 | 6 | STARLIT KNIGHT | 3.7% | 27.36 | 12 |
| 7 | 14 | HAY RUN | 3.6% | 28.03 | 8 |
| 8 | 9 | SHADOW BREAKER | 3.3% | 30.49 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | MISTER MONTE | 2.9% | 34.65 | 14 |
| 10 | 5 | EXALTATION | 2.2% | 45.51 | 7 |
| 11 | 3 | KING'S MAN | 2.1% | 47.17 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | GOOD FIT | 2.0% | 50.49 | 10 |
| 13 | 1 | GENERAL DINO | 1.5% | 65.50 | 13 |
| 14 | 8 | WILLIE WAY | 0.7% | 142.49 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 106
PLACE
2 14
4 15.5
10 23.5
QUINELLA
2,10 140.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 29.5
2,10 56.5
4,10 82
TIERCE
10,2,4 2,087
TRIO
2,4,10 221
FIRST 4
2,4,8,10 1,559
QUARTET
10,2,4,8 44,322
3 PICK 1
A2 17.5
A1 —
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
4TH DOUBLE
4/2 10.5
4/10 170.5