沙田 · 2020-03-14
第 3場
2020-03-14沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C H Yip訓練的GOOD VIEW CLARICO勝出，贏出1-1/4。HERE COMES TED獲得亞軍；DUBLIN STAR獲得季軍。4.2倍大熱門ZERO HEDGE跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO XB 0.56.88 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 1 | 4.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 13 | HERE COMES TED B G van Niekerk · D E Ferraris | G van Niekerk | D E Ferraris | 14 | 5.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | DUBLIN STAR B J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 6 | 4.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | DREAM TEAM C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 8 | 23.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | COMFORT LIFE XB/TT V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 5 | 48.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | ZERO HEDGE PC/XB K H Chan · J Size | K H Chan | J Size | 13 | 4.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | COOLCELEB B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 4 | 145.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | FABULOUS EIGHT TT1 C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 2 | 8.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | SUNSHINE UNIVERSE B C Wong · R Gibson | C Wong | R Gibson | 11 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | MY FAMILY H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 73.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | FORTUNE HERO M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 3 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 14 | BRAVERY AND POWER H/TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 7 | 317.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | EXTRA FORTUNE H1 M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 9 | 148.0 | 14-1/2 |
| — | 12 | WE THE SOUTH N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | DUBLIN STAR | 28.0% | 3.57 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO | 18.7% | 5.35 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | DREAM TEAM | 8.2% | 12.26 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | ZERO HEDGE | 7.4% | 13.45 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | FORTUNE HERO | 7.0% | 14.19 | 11 |
| 6 | 7 | EXTRA FORTUNE | 5.3% | 19.05 | 13 |
| 7 | 4 | COOLCELEB | 5.1% | 19.70 | 7 |
| 8 | 13 | HERE COMES TED | 4.6% | 21.88 | 2 |
| 9 | 9 | MY FAMILY | 4.3% | 23.28 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | SUNSHINE UNIVERSE | 4.2% | 23.79 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 3.5% | 28.18 | 8 |
| 12 | 2 | COMFORT LIFE | 2.9% | 34.19 | 5 |
| 13 | 14 | BRAVERY AND POWER | 0.8% | 123.28 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 46.5
PLACE
6 17.5
11 18.5
13 17
QUINELLA
11,13 142
QUINELLA PLACE
6,11 48.5
6,13 48.5
11,13 54
TIERCE
11,13,6 1,090
TRIO
6,11,13 165
FIRST 4
5,6,11,13 1,073
QUARTET
11,13,6,5 18,602
2ND DOUBLE
5/11 130
5/13 17
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 19
A3 —
A1 —