Sha Tin · 2020-03-14
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-14 was Class 4 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. GOOD VIEW CLARICO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C H Yip, won by 1-1/4, with HERE COMES TED second and DUBLIN STAR third. The 4.2 favourite ZERO HEDGE finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO XB 0.56.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 1 | 4.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 13 | HERE COMES TED B G van Niekerk · D E Ferraris | G van Niekerk | D E Ferraris | 14 | 5.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 6 | DUBLIN STAR B J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 6 | 4.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | DREAM TEAM C Schofield · A T Millard | C Schofield | A T Millard | 8 | 23.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | COMFORT LIFE XB/TT V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 5 | 48.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | ZERO HEDGE PC/XB K H Chan · J Size | K H Chan | J Size | 13 | 4.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | COOLCELEB B/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 4 | 145.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | FABULOUS EIGHT TT1 C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 2 | 8.7 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | SUNSHINE UNIVERSE B C Wong · R Gibson | C Wong | R Gibson | 11 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | MY FAMILY H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 73.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | FORTUNE HERO M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 3 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 14 | BRAVERY AND POWER H/TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 7 | 317.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | EXTRA FORTUNE H1 M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 9 | 148.0 | 14-1/2 |
| — | 12 | WE THE SOUTH N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | DUBLIN STAR | 28.0% | 3.57 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | GOOD VIEW CLARICO | 18.7% | 5.35 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | DREAM TEAM | 8.2% | 12.26 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | ZERO HEDGE | 7.4% | 13.45 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | FORTUNE HERO | 7.0% | 14.19 | 11 |
| 6 | 7 | EXTRA FORTUNE | 5.3% | 19.05 | 13 |
| 7 | 4 | COOLCELEB | 5.1% | 19.70 | 7 |
| 8 | 13 | HERE COMES TED | 4.6% | 21.88 | 2 |
| 9 | 9 | MY FAMILY | 4.3% | 23.28 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | SUNSHINE UNIVERSE | 4.2% | 23.79 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 3.5% | 28.18 | 8 |
| 12 | 2 | COMFORT LIFE | 2.9% | 34.19 | 5 |
| 13 | 14 | BRAVERY AND POWER | 0.8% | 123.28 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 46.5
PLACE
6 17.5
11 18.5
13 17
QUINELLA
11,13 142
QUINELLA PLACE
6,11 48.5
6,13 48.5
11,13 54
TIERCE
11,13,6 1,090
TRIO
6,11,13 165
FIRST 4
5,6,11,13 1,073
QUARTET
11,13,6,5 18,602
2ND DOUBLE
5/11 130
5/13 17
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 19
A3 —
A1 —