Sha Tin · 2020-03-14
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SIMPLY BRILLIANT Closed strongly XB 1.33.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 17.0 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | HARMONY VICTORY Closed strongly SR/TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 8 | 19.0 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | ENCOURAGING Led early B/TT K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 11 | 12.0 | N |
| 4 | 0 | FAT TURTLE Closed strongly B C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 1 | 16.0 | N |
| 5 | 0 | PRECIOUSSHIP Closed strongly XB C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 3 | 2.9 | 1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS Closed strongly H M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 6 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | TIME TO CELEBRATE B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | KA YING STAR B-/V1/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 10 | 2.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | FLYING THUNDER Closed strongly XB G van Niekerk · F C Lor | G van Niekerk | F C Lor | 7 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GOOD STANDING B/XB M F Poon · J Moore | M F Poon | J Moore | 4 | 38.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | DARK DREAM B/TT V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 9 | 44.0 | 9-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-14 was Class 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SIMPLY BRILLIANT, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by HD, with HARMONY VICTORY second and ENCOURAGING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite KA YING STAR finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PRECIOUSSHIP | 35.8% | 2.79 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | FAT TURTLE | 14.5% | 6.92 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | KA YING STAR | 12.0% | 8.33 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | HARMONY VICTORY | 8.9% | 11.23 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | TIME TO CELEBRATE | 7.1% | 14.02 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | FAST MOST FURIOUS | 4.6% | 21.70 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | FLYING THUNDER | 4.2% | 23.82 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | GOOD STANDING | 3.6% | 27.52 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | DARK DREAM | 3.2% | 31.05 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | SIMPLY BRILLIANT | 3.1% | 32.53 | 1 |
| 11 | 0 | ENCOURAGING | 2.9% | 34.12 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 174
PLACE
3 40
4 39.5
5 35.5
QUINELLA
3,4 1,048.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 258.5
3,5 261
4,5 361.5
TIERCE
4,3,5 33,287
TRIO
3,4,5 4,504
FIRST 4
3,4,5,6 9,683
QUARTET
4,3,5,6 260,188
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 49.5
A3 —
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
2/3 191.5
2/4 693.5