Sha Tin · 2020-03-14
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BELUGA 1.09.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 5 | 1.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | COLONEL B- G van Niekerk · P F Yiu | G van Niekerk | P F Yiu | 12 | 14.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 6 | 4.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | WINSTON'S LAD B/H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 5.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPILY FRIENDS C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 3 | 43.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | STARLIGHT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 10 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | TAILOR MADE B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 4 | 93.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | CURLING LUXURY H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 41.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | DOUBLE TAKE M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 7 | 222.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | HARD PROMISE N Callan · T P Yung | N Callan | T P Yung | 11 | 43.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | BRAVE BABY B/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz | M F Poon | A S Cruz | 9 | 33.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | FOR FUN'S SAKE B1 K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 8 | 223.0 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-14 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BELUGA, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 1/2, with COLONEL second and TRUE LEGEND third. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BELUGA | 47.0% | 2.13 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND | 21.7% | 4.60 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | WINSTON'S LAD | 8.7% | 11.56 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | COLONEL | 4.8% | 20.74 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | HAPPILY FRIENDS | 4.4% | 22.51 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | STARLIGHT | 3.5% | 28.20 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | CURLING LUXURY | 2.9% | 34.53 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | BRAVE BABY | 1.7% | 58.11 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 1.7% | 59.56 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | HARD PROMISE | 1.6% | 62.46 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | TAILOR MADE | 1.0% | 103.15 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | DOUBLE TAKE | 0.9% | 110.81 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 17.5
PLACE
5 12
7 14
8 26
QUINELLA
5,8 104
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 20.5
5,8 44.5
7,8 94
TIERCE
5,8,7 547
TRIO
5,7,8 137
FIRST 4
5,7,8,10 124
QUARTET
5,8,7,10 1,795
1ST DOUBLE
7/5 620
7/8 486
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 13
A2 —
A3 —