Sha Tin · 2020-03-14
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-14 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MULTIMAX, ridden by C Wong and trained by L Ho, won by SH, with THE ABRAXAS second and FOX CHEUNGER third. The 2.6 favourite RED BRICK FIGHTER finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | MULTIMAX B 1.10.17 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Wong · L Ho | C Wong | L Ho | 8 | 26.0 | SH |
| 2 | 3 | THE ABRAXAS B Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 3 | 4.7 | SH |
| 3 | 9 | FOX CHEUNGER B/TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 1 | 25.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | RED BRICK FIGHTER B C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 6 | 2.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | JIMSON THE DRAGON B/XB/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 11 | 28.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | FLYING MONKEY TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 2 | 60.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | MONEYMORE C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 4 | 4.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | SUPREME PLUS B/XB J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 10 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | WONDER EXPRESS CP1/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 12 | 23.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | LIGHTNING MISSILE B/TT M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 5 | 45.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | TIGERLAD V-/B2 V Borges · A T Millard | V Borges | A T Millard | 9 | 44.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 1 | I'M THE CONQUIST B G van Niekerk · D J Whyte | G van Niekerk | D J Whyte | 7 | 13.0 | 28-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SUPREME PLUS | 27.3% | 3.67 | 8 |
| 2 | 3 | THE ABRAXAS | 14.8% | 6.77 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 10.7% | 9.32 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | I'M THE CONQUIST | 8.5% | 11.70 | 12 |
| 5 | 4 | WONDER EXPRESS | 8.3% | 12.07 | 9 |
| 6 | 5 | MONEYMORE | 7.5% | 13.28 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | FOX CHEUNGER | 6.0% | 16.74 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | MULTIMAX | 5.9% | 16.98 | 1 |
| 9 | 10 | JIMSON THE DRAGON | 4.3% | 23.03 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | LIGHTNING MISSILE | 3.6% | 27.41 | 10 |
| 11 | 6 | FLYING MONKEY | 1.7% | 59.26 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | TIGERLAD | 1.3% | 75.59 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 265
PLACE
3 16.5
7 61.5
9 50.5
QUINELLA
3,7 634.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 174.5
3,9 141.5
7,9 627.5
TIERCE
7,3,9 24,961
TRIO
3,7,9 3,450
FIRST 4
3,7,8,9 1,387
QUARTET
7,3,9,8 46,885
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 46.5