Sha Tin · 2020-03-14
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RAGING BLITZKRIEG Closed strongly H 1.38.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 4 | 7.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | MONGOLIAN KING Closed strongly B V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 3 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | CALIFORNIA ARGENT Led early H/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 8 | 22.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | CLEAR CHOICE B/TT G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 6 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | RED ELYSEES Closed strongly B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 2 | 4.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | RIGHT CHOICE B K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 11 | 24.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | ENFOLDING Closed strongly V C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 9 | 22.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | LONE EAGLE TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 10 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SMILING CITY Closed strongly CP-/SR-/P2 M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 5 | 30.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | RACING LUCK Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | BEAR SLAM J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | 7 | 2.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | TRAVEL FIRST B2/TT T H So · C W Chang | T H So | C W Chang | 14 | 110.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | VOLPINO Closed strongly H/XB/TT H N Wong · T P Yung | H N Wong | T P Yung | 13 | 50.0 | 5 |
| 14 | 0 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT CP/TT M F Poon · J Moore | M F Poon | J Moore | 1 | 78.0 | 7-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-03-14 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. RAGING BLITZKRIEG, ridden by C Schofield and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/2, with MONGOLIAN KING second and CALIFORNIA ARGENT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite BEAR SLAM finished 11th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAR SLAM | 22.5% | 4.45 | 11 |
| 2 | 0 | RED ELYSEES | 15.2% | 6.59 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | CLEAR CHOICE | 10.4% | 9.61 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | MONGOLIAN KING | 7.1% | 14.00 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | VOLPINO | 6.8% | 14.62 | 13 |
| 6 | 0 | RACING LUCK | 6.3% | 15.99 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | ENFOLDING | 6.2% | 16.23 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | LONE EAGLE | 6.1% | 16.40 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | CALIFORNIA ARGENT | 4.1% | 24.16 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | RIGHT CHOICE | 4.0% | 25.06 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | RAGING BLITZKRIEG | 3.8% | 25.98 | 1 |
| 12 | 0 | SMILING CITY | 3.8% | 26.50 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | LAOS ENLIGHTENMENT | 2.3% | 42.97 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | TRAVEL FIRST | 1.4% | 73.62 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 73
PLACE
2 19.5
5 37
11 51.5
QUINELLA
2,5 784
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 224
2,11 211
5,11 937.5
TIERCE
2,5,11 21,679
TRIO
2,5,11 5,451
FIRST 4
2,5,8,11 12,240
QUARTET
2,5,11,8 292,441
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
7,9,10/2,5,11 1,048,968
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 37
6TH DOUBLE
7/2 1,247.5
7/5 635