跑馬地 · 2020-05-06
第 6場
2020-05-06跑馬地第6場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Schofield策騎、J Moore訓練的LARSON勝出，贏出2-1/4。FLYING GENIUS獲得亞軍；BE READY獲得季軍。3.5倍大熱門FLYING GENIUS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LARSON CP 0.56.49 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · J Moore | C Schofield | J Moore | 12 | 5.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 8 | FLYING GENIUS TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | BE READY B Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 3 | 3.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | VERY SWEET ORANGE V V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 11 | 28.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | VICTORY IN HAND TT C Wong · K W Lui | C Wong | K W Lui | 1 | 5.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | GRATEFUL HEART CP/TT A Hamelin · C S Shum | A Hamelin | C S Shum | 7 | 13.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | HANDSOME REBEL H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 6 | 13.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | SPECIAL STARS J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 5 | 15.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | DAY DAY RICH B M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 8 | 297.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | KING'S EMINENCE TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 4 | 52.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | JUMBO ENGINE B/XB T H So · D J Whyte | T H So | D J Whyte | 9 | 90.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | WON BALL M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 287.0 | 12 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | VICTORY IN HAND | 20.9% | 4.79 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | BE READY | 19.0% | 5.28 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | FLYING GENIUS | 18.1% | 5.52 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | LARSON | 14.0% | 7.13 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | HANDSOME REBEL | 8.1% | 12.27 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | SPECIAL STARS | 6.9% | 14.44 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | VERY SWEET ORANGE | 5.4% | 18.58 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | GRATEFUL HEART | 3.5% | 28.63 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | KING'S EMINENCE | 1.9% | 51.68 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | JUMBO ENGINE | 0.8% | 124.15 | 11 |
| 11 | 4 | DAY DAY RICH | 0.8% | 132.78 | 9 |
| 12 | 1 | WON BALL | 0.6% | 172.98 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 53.5
PLACE
2 20.5
3 16.5
8 13
QUINELLA
2,8 115
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 49
2,8 45.5
3,8 29
TIERCE
2,8,3 873
TRIO
2,3,8 99
FIRST 4
2,3,7,8 369
QUARTET
2,8,3,7 9,872
3 PICK 1
A3 30
A1 —
A2 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
3/2 465
3/8 35.5