跑馬地 · 2020-05-06
第 2場
2020-05-06跑馬地第2場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、L Ho訓練的RICH AND LUCKY勝出，贏出1-1/4。DIONYSUS COLLIN獲得亞軍；BIG BANG BONG獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。頭馬以3.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | RICH AND LUCKY 一路領先 XB1 1.39.44 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 5 | 3.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 10 | DIONYSUS COLLIN 後段發力 H- C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 5.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 1 | BIG BANG BONG TT C Schofield · C W Chang | C Schofield | C W Chang | 2 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | GO BALLISTIC 後段發力 B-/SR2 K Teetan · D E Ferraris | K Teetan | D E Ferraris | 4 | 8.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | ROYAL RACER J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 3 | 4.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | KING'S MAN 後段發力 V N Callan · P F Yiu | N Callan | P F Yiu | 7 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | VICTORY MASTERY PC K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 6 | 5.5 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | PLAY WISE B M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 12 | 26.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | SUPER BULLET 後段發力 B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 167.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | SPEED FORCE B/H/XB B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 11 | 211.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | FLAME LILY TT A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 10 | 29.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | TOP MILITARY P- V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 8 | 227.0 | 12 |
| — | 0 | SWOT TROOPERS WIND K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | ROYAL RACER | 34.1% | 2.93 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | RICH AND LUCKY | 17.9% | 5.59 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | DIONYSUS COLLIN | 16.0% | 6.25 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | GO BALLISTIC | 7.8% | 12.75 | 4 |
| 5 | 12 | VICTORY MASTERY | 7.3% | 13.66 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | FLAME LILY | 4.4% | 22.74 | 11 |
| 7 | 2 | KING'S MAN | 4.3% | 23.17 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | PLAY WISE | 3.8% | 26.00 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | BIG BANG BONG | 1.6% | 62.47 | 3 |
| 10 | 4 | SUPER BULLET | 1.4% | 72.34 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | SPEED FORCE | 0.7% | 141.71 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | TOP MILITARY | 0.6% | 165.98 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 38.5
PLACE
1 25
3 17.5
10 23
QUINELLA
3,10 124.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 77.5
1,10 108.5
3,10 43.5
TIERCE
3,10,1 1,456
TRIO
1,3,10 345
FIRST 4
1,3,7,10 699
QUARTET
3,10,1,7 9,979
1ST DOUBLE
2/3 75.5
2/10 28.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 20.5
A2 —