跑馬地 · 2020-05-06
第 1場
2020-05-06跑馬地第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、P F Yiu訓練的LORIZ勝出，贏出1。ALL BEST FRIENDS獲得亞軍；MONKEY JEWELLERY獲得季軍。頭馬以2.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LORIZ 1.10.02 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 4 | 2.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | ALL BEST FRIENDS B K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 5 | 5.2 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | MONKEY JEWELLERY J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 6 | 6.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | MULTIMAX B H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 3 | 41.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | THIS IS CHARISMA B/H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | NOBLE DESIRE B/XB A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 11 | 28.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | SUPER LUCKY B/H/XB N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 12 | 14.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | VICTORY FOR ALL B- C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 10 | 33.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | SHANGHAI LAD P/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 2 | 151.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | GOKO B/TT T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 1 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | FOR FUN'S SAKE B/XB1 V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 9 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | FORTUNE HERO M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 8 | 83.0 | 6 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LORIZ | 26.4% | 3.78 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | MONKEY JEWELLERY | 25.5% | 3.92 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | SUPER LUCKY | 13.5% | 7.41 | 7 |
| 4 | 8 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 9.4% | 10.63 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | NOBLE DESIRE | 5.5% | 18.26 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 4.4% | 22.71 | 5 |
| 7 | 11 | VICTORY FOR ALL | 4.3% | 23.22 | 8 |
| 8 | 12 | MULTIMAX | 3.5% | 28.18 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | GOKO | 2.5% | 39.37 | 10 |
| 10 | 9 | FORTUNE HERO | 1.8% | 56.11 | 12 |
| 11 | 10 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 1.7% | 58.64 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | SHANGHAI LAD | 1.4% | 72.31 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 20
PLACE
2 11
3 15.5
8 16
QUINELLA
2,8 52
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 27
2,8 25
3,8 49
TIERCE
2,8,3 292
TRIO
2,3,8 76
FIRST 4
2,3,8,12 426
QUARTET
2,8,3,12 4,083
3 PICK 1
A1 15
A3 —
A2 —