跑馬地 · 2020-05-06
第 5場
2020-05-06跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Hamelin策騎、D J Whyte訓練的THE RUNNER勝出，贏出3/4。INTERSTELLAR獲得亞軍；HARMONY N HOME獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門HARMONY N HOME跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | THE RUNNER SR 1.10.26 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 4 | 6.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | INTERSTELLAR H/B1/TT N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 10 | 34.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | HARMONY N HOME J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 1 | 3.4 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | DESTINE JEWELLERY V C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 3 | 3.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | JAZZ STEED C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 9.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | HAPPY VICTORY B1/TT2 K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 2 | 9.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | MILLENNIUM FALCON H/XB K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 11 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | MOMENTUM GALAXY H/P Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 7 | 9.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | ONE STEP AHEAD TT T H So · P O'Sullivan | T H So | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 133.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | ALL YOU KNOW H-/B/TT M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 9 | 27.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | DASHING GRACE B/TT M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 8 | 422.0 | 13-1/2 |
| — | 8 | STAR OF THEHARBOUR B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HARMONY N HOME | 22.1% | 4.53 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | DESTINE JEWELLERY | 20.7% | 4.84 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 18.4% | 5.44 | 8 |
| 4 | 3 | THE RUNNER | 13.0% | 7.66 | 1 |
| 5 | 4 | HAPPY VICTORY | 6.8% | 14.64 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 5.8% | 17.35 | 7 |
| 7 | 9 | INTERSTELLAR | 4.2% | 23.64 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | ALL YOU KNOW | 4.2% | 23.95 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | JAZZ STEED | 2.5% | 40.52 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 1.7% | 57.76 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | DASHING GRACE | 0.6% | 164.69 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 60
PLACE
1 15.5
3 19
9 80
QUINELLA
3,9 1,040.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 41
1,9 218
3,9 272
TIERCE
3,9,1 8,459
TRIO
1,3,9 1,124
FIRST 4
1,3,6,9 669
QUARTET
3,9,1,6 19,710
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,9/3,9>1,8 51,882
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 19
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE
5/3 802.5
5/9 804