跑馬地 · 2020-05-06
第 8場
2020-05-06跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、A S Cruz訓練的CALIFORNIA RAD勝出，贏出1/2。PING HAI GALAXY獲得亞軍；ISLAND SHINE獲得季軍。2.9倍大熱門ISLAND SHINE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT 1.09.33 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 10 | 4.9 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | PING HAI GALAXY N Callan · J Size | N Callan | J Size | 9 | 19.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | ISLAND SHINE B Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 1 | 2.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | GOLDEN DASH B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 12 | 9.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | TOTAL POWER T H So · D J Hall | T H So | D J Hall | 11 | 44.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | HOME MADE B/XB/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 77.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | WHISKEY NEAT B-/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 4 | 6.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 12 | SUPERB DADDY B C Wong · L Ho | C Wong | L Ho | 2 | 9.5 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | WINNING FEELING B M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 3 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 8 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 6 | 71.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | AMAZING KIWI B-/XB C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 7 | 19.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | GOOD BEAUTY CP-/B1/TT V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 5 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ISLAND SHINE | 23.0% | 4.35 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 22.1% | 4.53 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | WHISKEY NEAT | 14.4% | 6.95 | 7 |
| 4 | 7 | WINNING FEELING | 10.8% | 9.23 | 9 |
| 5 | 12 | SUPERB DADDY | 6.4% | 15.63 | 8 |
| 6 | 2 | GOLDEN DASH | 5.1% | 19.51 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | AMAZING KIWI | 4.2% | 23.56 | 11 |
| 8 | 1 | GOOD BEAUTY | 4.1% | 24.35 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | PING HAI GALAXY | 3.7% | 27.33 | 2 |
| 10 | 8 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS | 3.1% | 32.14 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | HOME MADE | 2.1% | 48.51 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | TOTAL POWER | 1.0% | 103.55 | 5 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 49.5
PLACE
3 13.5
4 51.5
9 20.5
QUINELLA
4,9 453
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 84
3,9 30
4,9 157.5
TIERCE
9,4,3 2,490
TRIO
3,4,9 281
FIRST 4
2,3,4,9 395
QUARTET
9,4,3,2 11,244
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 28
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
3/4 208
3/9 313.5