沙田 · 2020-05-31
第 3場
2020-05-31沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、F C Lor訓練的WINNING DREAMER勝出，贏出1-3/4。FABULOUS EIGHT獲得亞軍；SUPER KIN獲得季軍。頭馬以2.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | WINNING DREAMER 0.55.59 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 4 | 2.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | FABULOUS EIGHT TT J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 1 | 4.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | SUPER KIN TT N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 12 | 28.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | NEXTMODEL H/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung | M Chadwick | T P Yung | 3 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | EL JEFE XB/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 8 | 22.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 173.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | HERCULES XB C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 9 | 145.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | WAYFOONG STAR XB/SR1 C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 14 | 5.7 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | GOLD 'N' BOLD B-/CP1 Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 13 | 7.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 2 | DIAMOND PEGASUS B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 106.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | DR EQ K H Chan · J Size | K H Chan | J Size | 6 | 76.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | GLORIOUS BUDDY TT- M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 357.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | WINNING WAYS H-/B2/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 10 | 32.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 14 | 14 | DASHING GRACE B/TT- M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 11 | 553.0 | 15-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SO HAPPY C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 31.4% | 3.18 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | GOLD 'N' BOLD | 20.8% | 4.81 | 9 |
| 3 | 10 | WAYFOONG STAR | 13.7% | 7.30 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 | NEXTMODEL | 6.5% | 15.31 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | SUPER KIN | 6.2% | 16.18 | 3 |
| 6 | 7 | WINNING DREAMER | 5.6% | 17.83 | 1 |
| 7 | 3 | EL JEFE | 4.6% | 21.88 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | WINNING WAYS | 3.7% | 27.21 | 13 |
| 9 | 2 | DIAMOND PEGASUS | 2.1% | 47.00 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | DR EQ | 1.9% | 51.94 | 11 |
| 11 | 12 | HERCULES | 1.3% | 74.43 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | GLORIOUS BUDDY | 1.2% | 85.44 | 12 |
| 13 | 13 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 0.5% | 185.05 | 6 |
| 14 | 14 | DASHING GRACE | 0.4% | 251.28 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 24
PLACE
1 15
4 59.5
7 13
QUINELLA
1,7 58.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 131.5
1,7 27
4,7 107.5
TIERCE
7,1,4 1,242
TRIO
1,4,7 293
FIRST 4
1,4,7,9 527
QUARTET
7,1,4,9 7,311
2ND DOUBLE
13/1 160
13/7 783.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 15
A3 —