沙田 · 2020-05-31
第 2場
2020-05-31沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由V Borges策騎、R Gibson訓練的KWAICHUNG BROTHERS勝出，贏出SH。SHANGHAI RUSKY獲得亞軍；SEIZE THE SPIRIT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.3倍大熱門GALAXY RACER跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | KWAICHUNG BROTHERS 後段發力 B 1.22.74 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 4 | 19.0 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | SHANGHAI RUSKY 後段發力 H-/B C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 2 | 54.0 | SH |
| 3 | 1 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT 後段發力 A Hamelin · Y S Tsui | A Hamelin | Y S Tsui | 8 | 3.6 | HD |
| 4 | 3 | WHO'S HORSE 早段領放 B/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 13 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | FIRE AND GOLD 後段發力 B N Callan · C H Yip | N Callan | C H Yip | 12 | 32.0 | 1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | FLYING MONKEY CP/TT C Schofield · J Moore | C Schofield | J Moore | 14 | 7.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | MONEY MARSHAL XB-/B/TT2 H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 3 | 27.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | YEE CHEONG LUCKY B C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 9 | 7.2 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | FORTUNE BUDDY 後段發力 B2/TT- M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 10 | 169.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | GALAXY RACER V/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 3.3 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | SOLAR BILLION V-/SR1/TT- M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 6 | 27.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | BLINK OF A SECOND B/TT B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 1 | 139.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 4 | MOTHER WISHES TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 7 | 8.6 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 9 | DRAGON BOLT H/XB K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 5 | 213.0 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GALAXY RACER | 37.5% | 2.66 | 10 |
| 2 | 1 | SEIZE THE SPIRIT | 12.8% | 7.81 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | WHO'S HORSE | 12.6% | 7.92 | 4 |
| 4 | 13 | KWAICHUNG BROTHERS | 5.4% | 18.52 | 1 |
| 5 | 12 | SOLAR BILLION | 4.6% | 21.59 | 11 |
| 6 | 7 | FLYING MONKEY | 4.6% | 21.79 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | FIRE AND GOLD | 4.4% | 22.70 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | YEE CHEONG LUCKY | 4.4% | 22.92 | 8 |
| 9 | 14 | MONEY MARSHAL | 3.9% | 25.82 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | MOTHER WISHES | 3.7% | 26.72 | 13 |
| 11 | 5 | SHANGHAI RUSKY | 3.3% | 29.90 | 2 |
| 12 | 10 | FORTUNE BUDDY | 1.7% | 59.59 | 9 |
| 13 | 8 | BLINK OF A SECOND | 1.0% | 100.83 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 190
PLACE
1 15.5
5 100.5
13 55
QUINELLA
5,13 4,505.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 167.5
1,13 122
5,13 962
TIERCE
13,5,1 46,353
TRIO
1,5,13 4,162
FIRST 4
1,3,5,13 13,403
QUARTET
13,5,1,3 525,940
1ST DOUBLE
10/5 646.5
10/13 2,614.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 31