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Sha Tin · 2020-05-31

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1400m Course B 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.74
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 KWAICHUNG BROTHERS Closed strongly B 1.22.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · R Gibson 4 19.0 SH
2 0 SHANGHAI RUSKY Closed strongly H-/B C L Chau · C W Chang 2 54.0 SH
3 0 SEIZE THE SPIRIT Closed strongly A Hamelin · Y S Tsui 8 3.6 HD
4 0 WHO'S HORSE Led early B/TT K Teetan · K H Ting 13 16.0 1/2
5 0 FIRE AND GOLD Closed strongly B N Callan · C H Yip 12 32.0 1/2
6 0 FLYING MONKEY CP/TT C Schofield · J Moore 14 7.7 1-1/4
7 0 MONEY MARSHAL XB-/B/TT2 H W Lai · D E Ferraris 3 27.0 2-3/4
8 0 YEE CHEONG LUCKY B C Wong · A T Millard 9 7.2 3
9 0 FORTUNE BUDDY Closed strongly B2/TT- M L Yeung · T P Yung 10 169.0 4-1/2
10 0 GALAXY RACER V/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 11 3.3 4-1/2
11 0 SOLAR BILLION V-/SR1/TT- M Chadwick · K L Man 6 27.0 6
12 0 BLINK OF A SECOND B/TT B Shinn · D E Ferraris 1 139.0 6-1/4
13 0 MOTHER WISHES TT K C Leung · W Y So 7 8.6 8-1/4
— 0 DRAGON BOLT H/XB K H Chan · F C Lor 5 213.0 —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-31 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. KWAICHUNG BROTHERS, ridden by V Borges and trained by R Gibson, won by SH, with SHANGHAI RUSKY second and SEIZE THE SPIRIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite GALAXY RACER finished 10th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KWAICHUNG BROTHERS—2. SHANGHAI RUSKY+0.1L3. SEIZE THE SPIRIT+0.2L4. WHO'S HORSE+0.5L5. FIRE AND GOLD+0.5L6. FLYING MONKEY+1.25L7. MONEY MARSHAL+2.75L8. YEE CHEONG LUCKY+3L9. FORTUNE BUDDY+4.5L10. GALAXY RACER+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick GALAXY RACER (37.5%) finished 10th — the winner KWAICHUNG BROTHERS was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GALAXY RACER 37.5% 2.66 10
2 0 SEIZE THE SPIRIT 12.8% 7.81 3
3 0 WHO'S HORSE 12.6% 7.92 4
4 0 KWAICHUNG BROTHERS 5.4% 18.52 1
5 0 SOLAR BILLION 4.6% 21.59 11
6 0 FLYING MONKEY 4.6% 21.79 6
7 0 FIRE AND GOLD 4.4% 22.70 5
8 0 YEE CHEONG LUCKY 4.4% 22.92 8
9 0 MONEY MARSHAL 3.9% 25.82 7
10 0 MOTHER WISHES 3.7% 26.72 13
11 0 SHANGHAI RUSKY 3.3% 29.90 2
12 0 FORTUNE BUDDY 1.7% 59.59 9
13 0 BLINK OF A SECOND 1.0% 100.83 12
GALAXY RACERSEIZE THE SPIRITWHO'S HORSEKWAICHUNG BROTHERS — wonSOLAR BILLIONFLYING MONKEYFIRE AND GOLDYEE CHEONG LUCKYMONEY MARSHALMOTHER WISHESSHANGHAI RUSKYFORTUNE BUDDYBLINK OF A SECOND

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 190

PLACE

1 15.5

5 100.5

13 55

QUINELLA

5,13 4,505.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 167.5

1,13 122

5,13 962

TIERCE

13,5,1 46,353

TRIO

1,5,13 4,162

FIRST 4

1,3,5,13 13,403

QUARTET

13,5,1,3 525,940

1ST DOUBLE

10/5 646.5

10/13 2,614.5

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 —

A3 31