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Sha Tin · 2020-05-31

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD 1400m Course B 13 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-31 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. KWAICHUNG BROTHERS, ridden by V Borges and trained by R Gibson, won by SH, with SHANGHAI RUSKY second and SEIZE THE SPIRIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite GALAXY RACER finished 10th.

Result

Official · 1.22.74
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 13 KWAICHUNG BROTHERS Closed strongly B 1.22.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) V Borges · R Gibson 4 19.0 SH
2 5 SHANGHAI RUSKY Closed strongly H-/B C L Chau · C W Chang 2 54.0 SH
3 1 SEIZE THE SPIRIT Closed strongly A Hamelin · Y S Tsui 8 3.6 HD
4 3 WHO'S HORSE Led early B/TT K Teetan · K H Ting 13 16.0 1/2
5 6 FIRE AND GOLD Closed strongly B N Callan · C H Yip 12 32.0 1/2
6 7 FLYING MONKEY CP/TT C Schofield · J Moore 14 7.7 1-1/4
7 14 MONEY MARSHAL XB-/B/TT2 H W Lai · D E Ferraris 3 27.0 2-3/4
8 11 YEE CHEONG LUCKY B C Wong · A T Millard 9 7.2 3
9 10 FORTUNE BUDDY Closed strongly B2/TT- M L Yeung · T P Yung 10 169.0 4-1/2
10 2 GALAXY RACER V/TT J Moreira · C Fownes 11 3.3 4-1/2
11 12 SOLAR BILLION V-/SR1/TT- M Chadwick · K L Man 6 27.0 6
12 8 BLINK OF A SECOND B/TT B Shinn · D E Ferraris 1 139.0 6-1/4
13 4 MOTHER WISHES TT K C Leung · W Y So 7 8.6 8-1/4
9 DRAGON BOLT H/XB K H Chan · F C Lor 5 213.0

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KWAICHUNG BROTHERS2. SHANGHAI RUSKY+0.1L3. SEIZE THE SPIRIT+0.2L4. WHO'S HORSE+0.5L5. FIRE AND GOLD+0.5L6. FLYING MONKEY+1.25L7. MONEY MARSHAL+2.75L8. YEE CHEONG LUCKY+3L9. FORTUNE BUDDY+4.5L10. GALAXY RACER+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick GALAXY RACER (37.5%) finished 10th — the winner KWAICHUNG BROTHERS was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 GALAXY RACER 37.5% 2.66 10
2 1 SEIZE THE SPIRIT 12.8% 7.81 3
3 3 WHO'S HORSE 12.6% 7.92 4
4 13 KWAICHUNG BROTHERS 5.4% 18.52 1
5 12 SOLAR BILLION 4.6% 21.59 11
6 7 FLYING MONKEY 4.6% 21.79 6
7 6 FIRE AND GOLD 4.4% 22.70 5
8 11 YEE CHEONG LUCKY 4.4% 22.92 8
9 14 MONEY MARSHAL 3.9% 25.82 7
10 4 MOTHER WISHES 3.7% 26.72 13
11 5 SHANGHAI RUSKY 3.3% 29.90 2
12 10 FORTUNE BUDDY 1.7% 59.59 9
13 8 BLINK OF A SECOND 1.0% 100.83 12
GALAXY RACERSEIZE THE SPIRITWHO'S HORSEKWAICHUNG BROTHERS — wonSOLAR BILLIONFLYING MONKEYFIRE AND GOLDYEE CHEONG LUCKYMONEY MARSHALMOTHER WISHESSHANGHAI RUSKYFORTUNE BUDDYBLINK OF A SECOND

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 190

PLACE

1 15.5

5 100.5

13 55

QUINELLA

5,13 4,505.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 167.5

1,13 122

5,13 962

TIERCE

13,5,1 46,353

TRIO

1,5,13 4,162

FIRST 4

1,3,5,13 13,403

QUARTET

13,5,1,3 525,940

1ST DOUBLE

10/5 646.5

10/13 2,614.5

All pools (1 more)

3 PICK 1

A2

A1

A3 31