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Sha Tin · 2020-05-31

Race 4

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course B 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.14
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 RACING FIGHTER B/TT2 1.09.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C H Yip 11 5.2 SH
2 0 UNIQUE TREASURE P J Moreira · P F Yiu 4 3.6 SH
3 0 QUADRUPLE DOUBLE TT C L Chau · D J Hall 5 2.0 1/2
4 0 METRO WARRIOR CP1 N Callan · J Moore 7 19.0 1-1/4
5 0 CALIFORNIA TURBO B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 12 7.9 1-1/2
6 0 URBAN DANCER TT K C Leung · T P Yung 1 246.0 3-3/4
7 0 ENTRUSTED C Schofield · D J Whyte 8 97.0 5
8 0 SUPER QILIN XB/TT M L Yeung · W Y So 6 356.0 7-1/4
9 0 ORIENTAL AMIGO C Wong · Y S Tsui 2 177.0 9-1/4
10 0 SUPER COMMANDER XB/B1 K Teetan · A T Millard 10 63.0 15-1/2
11 0 BETHANY TT V Borges · C S Shum 9 36.0 25-3/4
12 0 KING'S HORN B-/V1 T H So · L Ho 3 311.0 26-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-31 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. RACING FIGHTER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C H Yip, won by SH, with UNIQUE TREASURE second and QUADRUPLE DOUBLE third. The 2.0 favourite QUADRUPLE DOUBLE finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RACING FIGHTER—2. UNIQUE TREASURE+0.1L3. QUADRUPLE DOUBLE+0.5L4. METRO WARRIOR+1.25L5. CALIFORNIA TURBO+1.5L6. URBAN DANCER+3.75L7. ENTRUSTED+5L8. SUPER QILIN+7.25L9. ORIENTAL AMIGO+9.25L10. SUPER COMMANDER+15.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick UNIQUE TREASURE (32.4%) finished 2nd — the winner RACING FIGHTER was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 UNIQUE TREASURE 32.4% 3.09 2
2 0 QUADRUPLE DOUBLE 20.0% 5.00 3
3 0 RACING FIGHTER 18.1% 5.53 1
4 0 CALIFORNIA TURBO 10.6% 9.39 5
5 0 ENTRUSTED 5.5% 18.26 7
6 0 METRO WARRIOR 3.4% 29.47 4
7 0 BETHANY 2.7% 36.72 11
8 0 SUPER COMMANDER 2.6% 38.62 10
9 0 ORIENTAL AMIGO 1.7% 59.01 9
10 0 URBAN DANCER 1.1% 89.33 6
11 0 SUPER QILIN 1.1% 90.68 8
12 0 KING'S HORN 0.7% 133.49 12
UNIQUE TREASUREQUADRUPLE DOUBLERACING FIGHTER — wonCALIFORNIA TURBOENTRUSTEDMETRO WARRIORBETHANYSUPER COMMANDERORIENTAL AMIGOURBAN DANCERSUPER QILINKING'S HORN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 52

PLACE

2 11.5

3 15

12 13

QUINELLA

3,12 113.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 25

2,12 19

3,12 31

TIERCE

3,12,2 539

TRIO

2,3,12 50

FIRST 4

2,3,8,12 122

QUARTET

3,12,2,8 3,508

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A2 27

A3 —

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

7/3 112

7/12 17.5