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Sha Tin · 2020-05-31

Race 9

Group 3 GOOD 1600m Course B 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.32.95
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 KA YING STAR Wire to wire V/TT 1.32.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · A S Cruz 5 6.5 N
2 0 SOUTHERN LEGEND Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 9 6.3 N
3 0 FAST MOST FURIOUS Closed strongly H- M F Poon · D J Hall 6 22.0 N
4 0 GENERAL'S DELIGHT XB K Teetan · D J Whyte 1 5.7 1/2
5 0 PRECIOUSSHIP Closed strongly XB M Chadwick · P F Yiu 3 14.0 1-3/4
6 0 DANCES WITH DRAGON Closed strongly V/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes 7 22.0 2-1/4
7 0 TIME TO CELEBRATE B V Borges · J Size 4 25.0 2-1/2
8 0 BEAUTY LEGACY E J Moreira · J Size 2 3.0 5
9 0 RATTAN CP N Callan · R Gibson 10 18.0 6-1/2
10 0 ELUSIVE STATE TT K C Leung · A T Millard 11 44.0 7-1/4
11 0 HARMONY VICTORY SR/TT B Shinn · C S Shum 8 8.5 8-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-31 was Group 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. KA YING STAR, ridden by C Schofield and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with SOUTHERN LEGEND second and FAST MOST FURIOUS third. The winner led throughout. The 3.0 favourite BEAUTY LEGACY finished 8th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KA YING STAR—2. SOUTHERN LEGEND+0.05L3. FAST MOST FURIOUS+0.05L4. GENERAL'S DELIGHT+0.5L5. PRECIOUSSHIP+1.75L6. DANCES WITH DRAGON+2.25L7. TIME TO CELEBRATE+2.5L8. BEAUTY LEGACY+5L9. RATTAN+6.5L10. ELUSIVE STATE+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick GENERAL'S DELIGHT (22.0%) finished 4th — the winner KA YING STAR was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 GENERAL'S DELIGHT 22.0% 4.54 4
2 0 BEAUTY LEGACY 20.6% 4.86 8
3 0 PRECIOUSSHIP 12.5% 8.00 5
4 0 KA YING STAR 11.6% 8.65 1
5 0 SOUTHERN LEGEND 7.1% 14.01 2
6 0 DANCES WITH DRAGON 6.5% 15.29 6
7 0 HARMONY VICTORY 5.3% 18.81 11
8 0 TIME TO CELEBRATE 4.5% 22.00 7
9 0 FAST MOST FURIOUS 4.1% 24.11 3
10 0 RATTAN 3.5% 28.85 9
11 0 ELUSIVE STATE 2.2% 45.03 10
GENERAL'S DELIGHTBEAUTY LEGACYPRECIOUSSHIPKA YING STAR — wonSOUTHERN LEGENDDANCES WITH DRAGONHARMONY VICTORYTIME TO CELEBRATEFAST MOST FURIOUSRATTANELUSIVE STATE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 65.5

PLACE

1 21

2 21

6 52

QUINELLA

1,2 216

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 74

1,6 148.5

2,6 231

TIERCE

2,1,6 6,821

TRIO

1,2,6 1,364

FIRST 4

1,2,6,11 2,068

QUARTET

2,1,6,11 41,457

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 —

A2 27

All pools (2 more)

8TH DOUBLE

1/1 119.5

1/2 838

WINNING TRAINER

B3 15.5

B2 —

B1 —