Sha Tin · 2020-05-31
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-31 was Group 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. KA YING STAR, ridden by C Schofield and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with SOUTHERN LEGEND second and FAST MOST FURIOUS third. The winner led throughout. The 3.0 favourite BEAUTY LEGACY finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | KA YING STAR Wire to wire V/TT 1.32.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · A S Cruz | C Schofield | A S Cruz | 5 | 6.5 | N |
| 2 | 1 | SOUTHERN LEGEND Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 6.3 | N |
| 3 | 6 | FAST MOST FURIOUS Closed strongly H- M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 22.0 | N |
| 4 | 11 | GENERAL'S DELIGHT XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 1 | 5.7 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | PRECIOUSSHIP Closed strongly XB M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 3 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | DANCES WITH DRAGON Closed strongly V/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 7 | 22.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | TIME TO CELEBRATE B V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 4 | 25.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | BEAUTY LEGACY E J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 3.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | RATTAN CP N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 10 | 18.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | ELUSIVE STATE TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 11 | 44.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | HARMONY VICTORY SR/TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 8 | 8.5 | 8-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | GENERAL'S DELIGHT | 22.0% | 4.54 | 4 |
| 2 | 8 | BEAUTY LEGACY | 20.6% | 4.86 | 8 |
| 3 | 9 | PRECIOUSSHIP | 12.5% | 8.00 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | KA YING STAR | 11.6% | 8.65 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | SOUTHERN LEGEND | 7.1% | 14.01 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | DANCES WITH DRAGON | 6.5% | 15.29 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 | HARMONY VICTORY | 5.3% | 18.81 | 11 |
| 8 | 10 | TIME TO CELEBRATE | 4.5% | 22.00 | 7 |
| 9 | 6 | FAST MOST FURIOUS | 4.1% | 24.11 | 3 |
| 10 | 3 | RATTAN | 3.5% | 28.85 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | ELUSIVE STATE | 2.2% | 45.03 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 65.5
PLACE
1 21
2 21
6 52
QUINELLA
1,2 216
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 74
1,6 148.5
2,6 231
TIERCE
2,1,6 6,821
TRIO
1,2,6 1,364
FIRST 4
1,2,6,11 2,068
QUARTET
2,1,6,11 41,457
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 27
A1 —
All pools (2 more)
8TH DOUBLE
1/1 119.5
1/2 838
WINNING TRAINER
B1 —
B2 —
B3 15.5