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Sha Tin · 2020-05-31

Race 10

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course B 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.44
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 MARVEL DRAGON Closed strongly TT 1.21.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · T P Yung 7 13.0 N
2 0 CRAIG'S STAR Closed strongly B V Borges · C S Shum 2 13.0 N
3 0 FANTASTIC SHOW Closed strongly B J Moreira · Y S Tsui 1 2.7 N
4 0 CIRCUIT GLORY Closed strongly H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz 11 41.0 1-1/4
5 0 PRIVATE ROCKET Led early CP/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte 3 5.0 2-1/4
6 0 STAR OF YUEN LONG B Shinn · K L Man 5 17.0 2-1/4
7 0 MONEY BACK XB-/B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan 4 37.0 3-1/4
8 0 TOYCOON Closed strongly XB A Hamelin · P F Yiu 10 21.0 3-1/2
9 0 PICKEN Closed strongly K C Leung · J Size 14 43.0 3-1/2
10 0 AWE B- M L Yeung · J Moore 8 44.0 3-1/2
11 0 JOYFUL HEART CP/TT C Schofield · F C Lor 13 10.0 3-1/2
12 0 WAR ROOM Closed strongly XB Z Purton · D J Hall 12 5.5 4
13 0 ZHAN JIANG ROCKS TT M F Poon · W Y So 9 145.0 6-1/2
14 0 HAPPY FORTUNE H T H So · L Ho 6 348.0 8-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-31 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MARVEL DRAGON, ridden by K Teetan and trained by T P Yung, won by N, with CRAIG'S STAR second and FANTASTIC SHOW third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite FANTASTIC SHOW finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MARVEL DRAGON—2. CRAIG'S STAR+0.05L3. FANTASTIC SHOW+0.05L4. CIRCUIT GLORY+1.25L5. PRIVATE ROCKET+2.25L6. STAR OF YUEN LONG+2.25L7. MONEY BACK+3.25L8. TOYCOON+3.5L9. PICKEN+3.5L10. AWE+3.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick FANTASTIC SHOW (34.8%) finished 3rd — the winner MARVEL DRAGON was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 FANTASTIC SHOW 34.8% 2.87 3
2 0 PRIVATE ROCKET 12.4% 8.06 5
3 0 WAR ROOM 10.0% 9.97 12
4 0 JOYFUL HEART 9.5% 10.51 11
5 0 MARVEL DRAGON 7.9% 12.70 1
6 0 TOYCOON 5.8% 17.34 8
7 0 PICKEN 4.3% 23.24 9
8 0 MONEY BACK 3.1% 32.56 7
9 0 CRAIG'S STAR 2.9% 34.35 2
10 0 STAR OF YUEN LONG 2.8% 36.26 6
11 0 CIRCUIT GLORY 2.6% 37.81 4
12 0 ZHAN JIANG ROCKS 2.1% 46.96 13
13 0 AWE 1.3% 75.02 10
14 0 HAPPY FORTUNE 0.4% 222.75 14
FANTASTIC SHOWPRIVATE ROCKETWAR ROOMJOYFUL HEARTMARVEL DRAGON — wonTOYCOONPICKENMONEY BACKCRAIG'S STARSTAR OF YUEN LONGCIRCUIT GLORYZHAN JIANG ROCKSAWEHAPPY FORTUNE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

13 138.5

PLACE

5 13.5

10 35.5

13 37.5

QUINELLA

10,13 1,440.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,10 95

5,13 76

10,13 355

TIERCE

13,10,5 9,807

TRIO

5,10,13 1,118

FIRST 4

1,5,10,13 6,270

QUARTET

13,10,5,1 199,915

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 —

A2 30.5

All pools (1 more)

9TH DOUBLE

2/10 402.5

2/13 1,002