Sha Tin · 2020-05-31
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-31 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MARVEL DRAGON, ridden by K Teetan and trained by T P Yung, won by N, with CRAIG'S STAR second and FANTASTIC SHOW third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite FANTASTIC SHOW finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | MARVEL DRAGON Closed strongly TT 1.21.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · T P Yung | K Teetan | T P Yung | 7 | 13.0 | N |
| 2 | 10 | CRAIG'S STAR Closed strongly B V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 2 | 13.0 | N |
| 3 | 5 | FANTASTIC SHOW Closed strongly B J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 1 | 2.7 | N |
| 4 | 1 | CIRCUIT GLORY Closed strongly H/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 11 | 41.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | PRIVATE ROCKET Led early CP/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 3 | 5.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | STAR OF YUEN LONG B Shinn · K L Man | B Shinn | K L Man | 5 | 17.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | MONEY BACK XB-/B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 4 | 37.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | TOYCOON Closed strongly XB A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 10 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | PICKEN Closed strongly K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 14 | 43.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | AWE B- M L Yeung · J Moore | M L Yeung | J Moore | 8 | 44.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | JOYFUL HEART CP/TT C Schofield · F C Lor | C Schofield | F C Lor | 13 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | WAR ROOM Closed strongly XB Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 12 | 5.5 | 4 |
| 13 | 14 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 9 | 145.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 14 | 7 | HAPPY FORTUNE H T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 6 | 348.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | FANTASTIC SHOW | 34.8% | 2.87 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | PRIVATE ROCKET | 12.4% | 8.06 | 5 |
| 3 | 4 | WAR ROOM | 10.0% | 9.97 | 12 |
| 4 | 11 | JOYFUL HEART | 9.5% | 10.51 | 11 |
| 5 | 13 | MARVEL DRAGON | 7.9% | 12.70 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | TOYCOON | 5.8% | 17.34 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | PICKEN | 4.3% | 23.24 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | MONEY BACK | 3.1% | 32.56 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | CRAIG'S STAR | 2.9% | 34.35 | 2 |
| 10 | 2 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 2.8% | 36.26 | 6 |
| 11 | 1 | CIRCUIT GLORY | 2.6% | 37.81 | 4 |
| 12 | 14 | ZHAN JIANG ROCKS | 2.1% | 46.96 | 13 |
| 13 | 9 | AWE | 1.3% | 75.02 | 10 |
| 14 | 7 | HAPPY FORTUNE | 0.4% | 222.75 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 138.5
PLACE
5 13.5
10 35.5
13 37.5
QUINELLA
10,13 1,440.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 95
5,13 76
10,13 355
TIERCE
13,10,5 9,807
TRIO
5,10,13 1,118
FIRST 4
1,5,10,13 6,270
QUARTET
13,10,5,1 199,915
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 30.5
A1 —
All pools (1 more)
9TH DOUBLE
2/10 402.5
2/13 1,002