Sha Tin · 2020-05-31
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-31 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. BULLISH GLORY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C W Chang, won by 1/2, with GOOD DAYS second and MCMUNIGAL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite MCMUNIGAL finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | BULLISH GLORY Closed strongly H 2.01.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 11 | 22.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | GOOD DAYS Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 4 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | MCMUNIGAL Closed strongly B/TT J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 12 | 3.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | EXALTATION V/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 2 | 12.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | NATURAL STORM B C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 3 | 4.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA Closed strongly TT K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 5 | 55.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | GIANT TURTLE SR/TT C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 10 | 48.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | CROWN AVENUE V V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 6 | 35.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 4 | PLAY WISE B- M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 8 | 95.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 13 | HAPPY ROCKY Closed strongly B/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 9 | 45.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | GALA NIGHT Led early CP C L Chau · J Moore | C L Chau | J Moore | 1 | 6.5 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | JIMMU SR B Shinn · Y S Tsui | B Shinn | Y S Tsui | 7 | 14.0 | 7-3/4 |
| — | 10 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER C Schofield · P O'Sullivan | C Schofield | P O'Sullivan | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | GOOD DAYS | 24.8% | 4.03 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | GALA NIGHT | 18.1% | 5.53 | 11 |
| 3 | 11 | MCMUNIGAL | 15.8% | 6.35 | 3 |
| 4 | 8 | EXALTATION | 12.9% | 7.74 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | NATURAL STORM | 7.1% | 14.17 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | BULLISH GLORY | 5.3% | 18.79 | 1 |
| 7 | 6 | JIMMU | 5.2% | 19.08 | 12 |
| 8 | 3 | GIANT TURTLE | 3.0% | 33.11 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 2.2% | 45.13 | 6 |
| 10 | 4 | PLAY WISE | 2.0% | 50.80 | 9 |
| 11 | 13 | HAPPY ROCKY | 1.9% | 51.71 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | CROWN AVENUE | 1.7% | 59.76 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 223.5
PLACE
9 14.5
11 14.5
12 53
QUINELLA
9,12 420.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 36
9,12 130.5
11,12 109.5
TIERCE
12,9,11 3,907
TRIO
9,11,12 381
FIRST 4
8,9,11,12 845
QUARTET
12,9,11,8 26,285
3 PICK 1
A3 44.5
A1 —
A2 —
All pools (2 more)
6TH DOUBLE
1/9 203.5
1/12 2,750
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,3/1,6,12/Any Combination 56,058