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Sha Tin · 2020-05-31

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD 1400m Course B 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.41
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SOCCER MASTER Closed strongly B/TT 1.22.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · W Y So 12 6.2 2-1/2
2 0 BUNDLE OF ENERGY Closed strongly B J Moreira · D J Hall 5 4.7 2-1/2
3 0 THE FULL BLOOM Closed strongly P-/TT C Schofield · C H Yip 1 5.9 2-3/4
4 0 E GENERATION Led early TT1 N Callan · C Fownes 11 35.0 2-3/4
5 0 WINNING WARRIOR V M Chadwick · K L Man 10 89.0 4-1/4
6 0 BELLA BABY Closed strongly XB/TT V Borges · W Y So 14 60.0 5-1/4
7 0 HURRICANE HUNTER Closed strongly B2 Z Purton · C H Yip 9 3.4 5-1/4
8 0 MULTIMAX B C Wong · L Ho 8 46.0 6
9 0 GOLDEN CANNON Closed strongly B/H/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui 7 15.0 6
10 0 KANBEKI MOLLY C L Chau · P F Yiu 4 6.5 6-1/4
11 0 MONEY WINNER Closed strongly V H N Wong · Y S Tsui 6 139.0 7
12 0 SPEEDY MISSILE P/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting 2 92.0 7-1/2
13 0 ONE STEP AHEAD B1/TT A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan 13 24.0 10-1/4
14 0 FORTUNE WAY B/TT K Teetan · D E Ferraris 3 34.0 14-1/2
— 0 SPICY REALLY C Schofield · F C Lor — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-31 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SOCCER MASTER, ridden by M F Poon and trained by W Y So, won by 2-1/2, with BUNDLE OF ENERGY second and THE FULL BLOOM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite HURRICANE HUNTER finished 7th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SOCCER MASTER—2. BUNDLE OF ENERGY+2.5L3. THE FULL BLOOM+2.75L4. E GENERATION+2.75L5. WINNING WARRIOR+4.25L6. BELLA BABY+5.25L7. HURRICANE HUNTER+5.25L8. MULTIMAX+6L9. GOLDEN CANNON+6L10. KANBEKI MOLLY+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick BUNDLE OF ENERGY (33.9%) finished 2nd — the winner SOCCER MASTER was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BUNDLE OF ENERGY 33.9% 2.95 2
2 0 HURRICANE HUNTER 16.7% 5.98 7
3 0 THE FULL BLOOM 9.8% 10.17 3
4 0 SOCCER MASTER 5.5% 18.23 1
5 0 GOLDEN CANNON 5.0% 20.20 9
6 0 FORTUNE WAY 4.9% 20.44 14
7 0 ONE STEP AHEAD 4.7% 21.10 13
8 0 MULTIMAX 4.1% 24.12 8
9 0 BELLA BABY 4.1% 24.31 6
10 0 KANBEKI MOLLY 3.6% 27.84 10
11 0 E GENERATION 2.8% 36.12 4
12 0 SPEEDY MISSILE 2.0% 50.24 12
13 0 WINNING WARRIOR 1.8% 55.70 5
14 0 MONEY WINNER 1.1% 93.42 11
BUNDLE OF ENERGYHURRICANE HUNTERTHE FULL BLOOMSOCCER MASTER — wonGOLDEN CANNONFORTUNE WAYONE STEP AHEADMULTIMAXBELLA BABYKANBEKI MOLLYE GENERATIONSPEEDY MISSILEWINNING WARRIORMONEY WINNER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 62

PLACE

6 15

9 21.5

10 21.5

QUINELLA

6,10 163.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,9 66

6,10 67

9,10 76

TIERCE

10,6,9 2,200

TRIO

6,9,10 394

FIRST 4

6,8,9,10 2,881

QUARTET

10,6,9,8 47,925

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 —

A3 30.5