Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2020-05-31

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD 1400m Course B 14 runners

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-31 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SOCCER MASTER, ridden by M F Poon and trained by W Y So, won by 2-1/2, with BUNDLE OF ENERGY second and THE FULL BLOOM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite HURRICANE HUNTER finished 7th.

Result

Official · 1.22.41
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 SOCCER MASTER Closed strongly B/TT 1.22.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · W Y So 12 6.2 2-1/2
2 6 BUNDLE OF ENERGY Closed strongly B J Moreira · D J Hall 5 4.7 2-1/2
3 9 THE FULL BLOOM Closed strongly P-/TT C Schofield · C H Yip 1 5.9 2-3/4
4 8 E GENERATION Led early TT1 N Callan · C Fownes 11 35.0 2-3/4
5 11 WINNING WARRIOR V M Chadwick · K L Man 10 89.0 4-1/4
6 3 BELLA BABY Closed strongly XB/TT V Borges · W Y So 14 60.0 5-1/4
7 2 HURRICANE HUNTER Closed strongly B2 Z Purton · C H Yip 9 3.4 5-1/4
8 4 MULTIMAX B C Wong · L Ho 8 46.0 6
9 12 GOLDEN CANNON Closed strongly B/H/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui 7 15.0 6
10 1 KANBEKI MOLLY C L Chau · P F Yiu 4 6.5 6-1/4
11 13 MONEY WINNER Closed strongly V H N Wong · Y S Tsui 6 139.0 7
12 7 SPEEDY MISSILE P/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting 2 92.0 7-1/2
13 5 ONE STEP AHEAD B1/TT A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan 13 24.0 10-1/4
14 14 FORTUNE WAY B/TT K Teetan · D E Ferraris 3 34.0 14-1/2
0 SPICY REALLY C Schofield · F C Lor

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SOCCER MASTER2. BUNDLE OF ENERGY+2.5L3. THE FULL BLOOM+2.75L4. E GENERATION+2.75L5. WINNING WARRIOR+4.25L6. BELLA BABY+5.25L7. HURRICANE HUNTER+5.25L8. MULTIMAX+6L9. GOLDEN CANNON+6L10. KANBEKI MOLLY+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick BUNDLE OF ENERGY (33.9%) finished 2nd — the winner SOCCER MASTER was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 BUNDLE OF ENERGY 33.9% 2.95 2
2 2 HURRICANE HUNTER 16.7% 5.98 7
3 9 THE FULL BLOOM 9.8% 10.17 3
4 10 SOCCER MASTER 5.5% 18.23 1
5 12 GOLDEN CANNON 5.0% 20.20 9
6 14 FORTUNE WAY 4.9% 20.44 14
7 5 ONE STEP AHEAD 4.7% 21.10 13
8 4 MULTIMAX 4.1% 24.12 8
9 3 BELLA BABY 4.1% 24.31 6
10 1 KANBEKI MOLLY 3.6% 27.84 10
11 8 E GENERATION 2.8% 36.12 4
12 7 SPEEDY MISSILE 2.0% 50.24 12
13 11 WINNING WARRIOR 1.8% 55.70 5
14 13 MONEY WINNER 1.1% 93.42 11
BUNDLE OF ENERGYHURRICANE HUNTERTHE FULL BLOOMSOCCER MASTER — wonGOLDEN CANNONFORTUNE WAYONE STEP AHEADMULTIMAXBELLA BABYKANBEKI MOLLYE GENERATIONSPEEDY MISSILEWINNING WARRIORMONEY WINNER

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 62

PLACE

6 15

9 21.5

10 21.5

QUINELLA

6,10 163.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,9 66

6,10 67

9,10 76

TIERCE

10,6,9 2,200

TRIO

6,9,10 394

FIRST 4

6,8,9,10 2,881

QUARTET

10,6,9,8 47,925

3 PICK 1

A3 30.5

A1

A2