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Sha Tin · 2020-05-31

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course B 13 runners

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-31 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY AMIGO, ridden by K H Chan and trained by J Moore, won by 1/2, with FLYING SWORD second and ELIGERE third. The 3.6 favourite FLYING SWORD finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.08.94
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 BEAUTY AMIGO B 1.08.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · J Moore 8 7.2 1/2
2 11 FLYING SWORD CP/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 1 3.6 1/2
3 13 ELIGERE B- V Borges · Y S Tsui 2 5.8 3/4
4 2 HANDSOME BO BO SR J Moreira · K L Man 3 5.0 2-1/2
5 8 TOM'S STYLE TT C Y Ho · K W Lui 7 31.0 3-1/4
6 12 AMAZING KNIGHT E M Chadwick · J Size 5 66.0 3-3/4
7 4 FLYING ON THE TURF CP-/B1/TT1 K C Leung · K H Ting 6 21.0 4-1/4
8 3 STANLEY PARK V C L Chau · L Ho 11 8.9 4-1/4
9 9 TRUST ME B Z Purton · C H Yip 10 16.0 4-1/2
10 6 FALCON TURBO B C Schofield · D J Whyte 4 10.0 5
11 5 DAY DAY RICH B M L Yeung · T P Yung 12 285.0 5-1/4
12 10 BRIGHT VISION A Hamelin · P F Yiu 9 18.0 7-1/2
13 7 TELECOM ELITE N Callan · P O'Sullivan 13 207.0 10-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BEAUTY AMIGO2. FLYING SWORD+0.5L3. ELIGERE+0.75L4. HANDSOME BO BO+2.5L5. TOM'S STYLE+3.25L6. AMAZING KNIGHT+3.75L7. FLYING ON THE TURF+4.25L8. STANLEY PARK+4.25L9. TRUST ME+4.5L10. FALCON TURBO+5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick FLYING SWORD (22.5%) finished 2nd — the winner BEAUTY AMIGO was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 FLYING SWORD 22.5% 4.44 2
2 2 HANDSOME BO BO 13.1% 7.64 4
3 3 STANLEY PARK 11.9% 8.40 8
4 13 ELIGERE 9.2% 10.82 3
5 6 FALCON TURBO 9.1% 11.04 10
6 1 BEAUTY AMIGO 6.8% 14.65 1
7 9 TRUST ME 6.3% 15.96 9
8 8 TOM'S STYLE 5.5% 18.20 5
9 12 AMAZING KNIGHT 5.3% 18.91 6
10 7 TELECOM ELITE 3.9% 25.55 13
11 10 BRIGHT VISION 3.7% 27.07 12
12 4 FLYING ON THE TURF 1.7% 59.11 7
13 5 DAY DAY RICH 1.0% 102.53 11
FLYING SWORDHANDSOME BO BOSTANLEY PARKELIGEREFALCON TURBOBEAUTY AMIGO — wonTRUST METOM'S STYLEAMAZING KNIGHTTELECOM ELITEBRIGHT VISIONFLYING ON THE TURFDAY DAY RICH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 72.5

PLACE

1 24

11 17

13 18

QUINELLA

1,11 145

QUINELLA PLACE

1,11 54

1,13 80.5

11,13 37

TIERCE

1,11,13 1,497

TRIO

1,11,13 253

FIRST 4

1,2,11,13 281

QUARTET

1,11,13,2 9,188

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

9,11,12/1,11,13 21,372

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2

A3 25.5

A1

7TH DOUBLE

12/1 1,916

12/11 179