沙田 · 2020-05-31
第 8場
2020-05-31沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K H Chan策騎、J Moore訓練的BEAUTY AMIGO勝出，贏出1/2。FLYING SWORD獲得亞軍；ELIGERE獲得季軍。3.6倍大熱門FLYING SWORD跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BEAUTY AMIGO B 1.08.94 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · J Moore | K H Chan | J Moore | 8 | 7.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | FLYING SWORD CP/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 13 | ELIGERE B- V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 2 | 5.8 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | HANDSOME BO BO SR J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 3 | 5.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | TOM'S STYLE TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 31.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | AMAZING KNIGHT E M Chadwick · J Size | M Chadwick | J Size | 5 | 66.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | FLYING ON THE TURF CP-/B1/TT1 K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 6 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | STANLEY PARK V C L Chau · L Ho | C L Chau | L Ho | 11 | 8.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | TRUST ME B Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 10 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | FALCON TURBO B C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 4 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | DAY DAY RICH B M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 12 | 285.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | BRIGHT VISION A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 9 | 18.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | TELECOM ELITE N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 13 | 207.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | FLYING SWORD | 22.5% | 4.44 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | HANDSOME BO BO | 13.1% | 7.64 | 4 |
| 3 | 3 | STANLEY PARK | 11.9% | 8.40 | 8 |
| 4 | 13 | ELIGERE | 9.2% | 10.82 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | FALCON TURBO | 9.1% | 11.04 | 10 |
| 6 | 1 | BEAUTY AMIGO | 6.8% | 14.65 | 1 |
| 7 | 9 | TRUST ME | 6.3% | 15.96 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | TOM'S STYLE | 5.5% | 18.20 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | AMAZING KNIGHT | 5.3% | 18.91 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | TELECOM ELITE | 3.9% | 25.55 | 13 |
| 11 | 10 | BRIGHT VISION | 3.7% | 27.07 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | FLYING ON THE TURF | 1.7% | 59.11 | 7 |
| 13 | 5 | DAY DAY RICH | 1.0% | 102.53 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 72.5
PLACE
1 24
11 17
13 18
QUINELLA
1,11 145
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 54
1,13 80.5
11,13 37
TIERCE
1,11,13 1,497
TRIO
1,11,13 253
FIRST 4
1,2,11,13 281
QUARTET
1,11,13,2 9,188
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
9,11,12/1,11,13 21,372
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 25.5
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
12/1 1,916
12/11 179