沙田 · 2020-05-31
第 4場
2020-05-31沙田第4場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C H Yip訓練的RACING FIGHTER勝出，贏出SH。UNIQUE TREASURE獲得亞軍；QUADRUPLE DOUBLE獲得季軍。2.0倍大熱門QUADRUPLE DOUBLE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT2 1.09.14 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 11 | 5.2 | SH |
| 2 | 12 | UNIQUE TREASURE P J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 4 | 3.6 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE TT C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 5 | 2.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | METRO WARRIOR CP1 N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 7 | 19.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | CALIFORNIA TURBO B/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 12 | 7.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | URBAN DANCER TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 1 | 246.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | ENTRUSTED C Schofield · D J Whyte | C Schofield | D J Whyte | 8 | 97.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 10 | SUPER QILIN XB/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 6 | 356.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | ORIENTAL AMIGO C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 177.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | SUPER COMMANDER XB/B1 K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 10 | 63.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | BETHANY TT V Borges · C S Shum | V Borges | C S Shum | 9 | 36.0 | 25-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | KING'S HORN B-/V1 T H So · L Ho | T H So | L Ho | 3 | 311.0 | 26-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | UNIQUE TREASURE | 32.4% | 3.09 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 20.0% | 5.00 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | RACING FIGHTER | 18.1% | 5.53 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | CALIFORNIA TURBO | 10.6% | 9.39 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | ENTRUSTED | 5.5% | 18.26 | 7 |
| 6 | 8 | METRO WARRIOR | 3.4% | 29.47 | 4 |
| 7 | 9 | BETHANY | 2.7% | 36.72 | 11 |
| 8 | 1 | SUPER COMMANDER | 2.6% | 38.62 | 10 |
| 9 | 6 | ORIENTAL AMIGO | 1.7% | 59.01 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | URBAN DANCER | 1.1% | 89.33 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | SUPER QILIN | 1.1% | 90.68 | 8 |
| 12 | 7 | KING'S HORN | 0.7% | 133.49 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 52
PLACE
2 11.5
3 15
12 13
QUINELLA
3,12 113.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 25
2,12 19
3,12 31
TIERCE
3,12,2 539
TRIO
2,3,12 50
FIRST 4
2,3,8,12 122
QUARTET
3,12,2,8 3,508
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 27
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
7/3 112
7/12 17.5