沙田 · 2020-05-31
第 5場
2020-05-31沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K H Chan策騎、C H Yip訓練的HINYUEN SWIFTNESS勝出，贏出SH。BRIGHT KID獲得亞軍；HAPPY VICTORY獲得季軍。3.7倍大熱門BRIGHT KID跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HINYUEN SWIFTNESS B/TT 1.09.39 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 14 | 12.0 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | BRIGHT KID B/XB Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 1 | 3.7 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | HAPPY VICTORY B/TT K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 7 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | UNIVERSAL CROWN XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 6 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | FIGHTER BOY H1 C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 5 | 4.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | MALDIVES XB1 B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 9 | 25.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | GENERAL TRUMP TT A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 3 | 6.7 | 4 |
| 8 | 14 | UNITED WE STAND B/TT H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 12 | 108.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | READY CONQUEROR B- V Borges · Y S Tsui | V Borges | Y S Tsui | 8 | 63.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | RUN THE TABLE B-/H N Callan · K W Lui | N Callan | K W Lui | 2 | 210.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | RHAPSODY J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 13 | 4.2 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | STOCK LEGEND B/H C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 11 | 23.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 13 | 12 | RED ZOFFANY SR1/TT T H So · K L Man | T H So | K L Man | 4 | 417.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 13 | PERFECT HARMONY B/H1/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 10 | 46.0 | 7-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BRIGHT KID | 30.4% | 3.29 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | RHAPSODY | 19.7% | 5.07 | 11 |
| 3 | 10 | GENERAL TRUMP | 13.1% | 7.63 | 7 |
| 4 | 9 | FIGHTER BOY | 10.1% | 9.87 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | HINYUEN SWIFTNESS | 5.9% | 16.81 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 5.4% | 18.61 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | HAPPY VICTORY | 4.2% | 23.66 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | STOCK LEGEND | 4.1% | 24.65 | 12 |
| 9 | 13 | PERFECT HARMONY | 2.2% | 45.04 | 14 |
| 10 | 4 | MALDIVES | 1.5% | 68.86 | 6 |
| 11 | 14 | UNITED WE STAND | 1.2% | 82.26 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | READY CONQUEROR | 0.9% | 114.81 | 9 |
| 13 | 6 | RUN THE TABLE | 0.8% | 121.50 | 10 |
| 14 | 12 | RED ZOFFANY | 0.5% | 202.39 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 123
PLACE
1 37.5
2 16
3 38
QUINELLA
1,2 229.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 86.5
1,3 219.5
2,3 93.5
TIERCE
1,2,3 5,047
TRIO
1,2,3 767
FIRST 4
1,2,3,7 3,034
QUARTET
1,2,3,7 68,036
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,12/1,2,3 4,535
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 22
4TH DOUBLE
3/1 805
3/2 28