沙田 · 2020-05-31
第 11場
2020-05-31沙田第11場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Schofield策騎、W Y So訓練的MR CROISSANT勝出，贏出1/2。ALL IN MIND獲得亞軍；LUCKY EXPRESS獲得季軍。2.1倍大熱門LUCKY EXPRESS跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MR CROISSANT CP 1.08.23 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 1 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | ALL IN MIND H/XB/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 2 | 9.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | LUCKY EXPRESS J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 2.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | ARMANDO K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 6 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | SEVEN HEAVENS TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 7 | 58.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | LUCKY MORE Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 3.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | PRECIOUS EXPRESS H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 14 | 505.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 1 | STRONGER CP C L Chau · J Moore | C L Chau | J Moore | 11 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | CALIFORNIA WHIP B/H/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 8 | 22.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 13 | BALTIC SUCCESS TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 3 | 51.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/P1/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 13 | 31.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 10 | SPEED VISION B/TT C Wong · F C Lor | C Wong | F C Lor | 9 | 366.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | YOO YOO KING H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 12 | 145.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 14 | 11 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 10 | 84.0 | 25-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LUCKY MORE | 32.2% | 3.11 | 6 |
| 2 | 7 | LUCKY EXPRESS | 11.5% | 8.72 | 3 |
| 3 | 12 | ALL IN MIND | 10.1% | 9.90 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | STRONGER | 9.8% | 10.15 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE | 7.4% | 13.54 | 11 |
| 6 | 5 | MR CROISSANT | 5.6% | 17.76 | 1 |
| 7 | 9 | SEVEN HEAVENS | 4.5% | 22.05 | 5 |
| 8 | 13 | BALTIC SUCCESS | 4.5% | 22.21 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | CALIFORNIA WHIP | 4.1% | 24.49 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | ARMANDO | 3.5% | 28.43 | 4 |
| 11 | 11 | TEAM SPIRIT | 2.6% | 39.20 | 14 |
| 12 | 10 | SPEED VISION | 1.8% | 56.77 | 12 |
| 13 | 14 | YOO YOO KING | 1.7% | 58.86 | 13 |
| 14 | 8 | PRECIOUS EXPRESS | 0.8% | 131.92 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 106.5
PLACE
5 23
7 13
12 21
QUINELLA
5,12 345
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 47
5,12 82.5
7,12 37.5
TIERCE
5,12,7 2,270
TRIO
5,7,12 256
FIRST 4
5,6,7,12 665
QUARTET
5,12,7,6 20,999
10TH DOUBLE
13/5 960
13/12 175
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 40
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,10,13/5,7,12 40,076
SIX UP
1,12/9,12/1,11/1,2/10,13/5,12 267,671
8 [V Borges] —
TREBLE
2/13/5 7,096
2/13/12 1,440