沙田 · 2020-05-31
第 6場
2020-05-31沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由N Callan策騎、L Ho訓練的SUPERB DADDY勝出，贏出SH。SUPER RED DRAGON獲得亞軍；SO WE JOY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.6倍大熱門PARTY GENIUS跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPERB DADDY 後段發力 B- 1.22.09 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） N Callan · L Ho | N Callan | L Ho | 9 | 20.0 | SH |
| 2 | 12 | SUPER RED DRAGON 後段發力 B/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 3 | 19.0 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | SO WE JOY 後段發力 CP/TT C Y Ho · J Moore | C Y Ho | J Moore | 8 | 5.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | SUN OF MAKFI 後段發力 H-/XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 10 | 101.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | PARTY GENIUS 後段發力 XB Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 6 | 2.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 14 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW 後段發力 B/H M L Yeung · R Gibson | M L Yeung | R Gibson | 14 | 145.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | MOMENTUM HAPPY 早段領放 B C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 7 | 7.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 13 | ALL TIMES GRATEFUL 後段發力 B- T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 5 | 35.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | STAR MAJESTIC B A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan | A Hamelin | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 24.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 後段發力 B J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 12 | 9.4 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 4 | 5.4 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | MASTER GALAXY H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 13 | 367.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | FORTUNATE RUNNER CP/TT H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 11 | 358.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 3 | HEY PAL TT1 C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 2 | 91.0 | 12-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PARTY GENIUS | 27.8% | 3.60 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | HEY PAL | 14.2% | 7.06 | 14 |
| 3 | 10 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 11.5% | 8.73 | 10 |
| 4 | 7 | MOMENTUM HAPPY | 10.4% | 9.59 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | SO WE JOY | 9.6% | 10.45 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | SUPER RED DRAGON | 8.5% | 11.81 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE | 6.1% | 16.48 | 11 |
| 8 | 1 | SUPERB DADDY | 3.7% | 27.18 | 1 |
| 9 | 4 | STAR MAJESTIC | 2.9% | 34.53 | 9 |
| 10 | 14 | IMPECCABLE FELLOW | 1.5% | 68.77 | 6 |
| 11 | 5 | SUN OF MAKFI | 1.3% | 74.94 | 4 |
| 12 | 13 | ALL TIMES GRATEFUL | 1.1% | 89.62 | 8 |
| 13 | 8 | FORTUNATE RUNNER | 0.9% | 113.09 | 13 |
| 14 | 11 | MASTER GALAXY | 0.7% | 136.66 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 202
PLACE
1 52
6 18.5
12 51.5
QUINELLA
1,12 1,949.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 161.5
1,12 475
6,12 144.5
TIERCE
1,12,6 19,112
TRIO
1,6,12 2,675
FIRST 4
1,5,6,12 15,639
QUARTET
1,12,6,5 636,247
3 PICK 1
A3 49
A2 —
A1 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
1/1 2,002
1/12 233