Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2020-05-31

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course B 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.09
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly B- 1.22.09 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) N Callan · L Ho 9 20.0 SH
2 0 SUPER RED DRAGON Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · W Y So 3 19.0 SH
3 0 SO WE JOY Closed strongly CP/TT C Y Ho · J Moore 8 5.2 3/4
4 0 SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly H-/XB B Shinn · D J Hall 10 101.0 2-3/4
5 0 PARTY GENIUS Closed strongly XB Z Purton · D J Whyte 6 2.6 3-1/2
6 0 IMPECCABLE FELLOW Closed strongly B/H M L Yeung · R Gibson 14 145.0 4-1/4
7 0 MOMENTUM HAPPY Led early B C Wong · K H Ting 7 7.0 4-1/2
8 0 ALL TIMES GRATEFUL Closed strongly B- T H So · C H Yip 5 35.0 5-1/4
9 0 STAR MAJESTIC B A Hamelin · P O'Sullivan 1 24.0 5-1/4
10 0 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly B J Moreira · P F Yiu 12 9.4 6-1/4
11 0 CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 4 5.4 8-1/4
12 0 MASTER GALAXY H W Lai · Y S Tsui 13 367.0 9-1/2
13 0 FORTUNATE RUNNER CP/TT H N Wong · K W Lui 11 358.0 9-1/2
14 0 HEY PAL TT1 C Schofield · J Size 2 91.0 12-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-31 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SUPERB DADDY, ridden by N Callan and trained by L Ho, won by SH, with SUPER RED DRAGON second and SO WE JOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite PARTY GENIUS finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPERB DADDY—2. SUPER RED DRAGON+0.1L3. SO WE JOY+0.75L4. SUN OF MAKFI+2.75L5. PARTY GENIUS+3.5L6. IMPECCABLE FELLOW+4.25L7. MOMENTUM HAPPY+4.5L8. ALL TIMES GRATEFUL+5.25L9. STAR MAJESTIC+5.25L10. WINWIN THIRTYTHREE+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick PARTY GENIUS (27.8%) finished 5th — the winner SUPERB DADDY was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 PARTY GENIUS 27.8% 3.60 5
2 0 HEY PAL 14.2% 7.06 14
3 0 WINWIN THIRTYTHREE 11.5% 8.73 10
4 0 MOMENTUM HAPPY 10.4% 9.59 7
5 0 SO WE JOY 9.6% 10.45 3
6 0 SUPER RED DRAGON 8.5% 11.81 2
7 0 CIRCUIT NUMBER ONE 6.1% 16.48 11
8 0 SUPERB DADDY 3.7% 27.18 1
9 0 STAR MAJESTIC 2.9% 34.53 9
10 0 IMPECCABLE FELLOW 1.5% 68.77 6
11 0 SUN OF MAKFI 1.3% 74.94 4
12 0 ALL TIMES GRATEFUL 1.1% 89.62 8
13 0 FORTUNATE RUNNER 0.9% 113.09 13
14 0 MASTER GALAXY 0.7% 136.66 12
PARTY GENIUSHEY PALWINWIN THIRTYTHREEMOMENTUM HAPPYSO WE JOYSUPER RED DRAGONCIRCUIT NUMBER ONESUPERB DADDY — wonSTAR MAJESTICIMPECCABLE FELLOWSUN OF MAKFIALL TIMES GRATEFULFORTUNATE RUNNERMASTER GALAXY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 202

PLACE

1 52

6 18.5

12 51.5

QUINELLA

1,12 1,949.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 161.5

1,12 475

6,12 144.5

TIERCE

1,12,6 19,112

TRIO

1,6,12 2,675

FIRST 4

1,5,6,12 15,639

QUARTET

1,12,6,5 636,247

3 PICK 1

A3 49

A2 —

A1 —

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

1/1 2,002

1/12 233