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Sha Tin · 2020-05-31

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course B 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2020-05-31 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HINYUEN SWIFTNESS, ridden by K H Chan and trained by C H Yip, won by SH, with BRIGHT KID second and HAPPY VICTORY third. The 3.7 favourite BRIGHT KID finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.09.39
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 HINYUEN SWIFTNESS B/TT 1.09.39 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K H Chan · C H Yip 14 12.0 SH
2 2 BRIGHT KID B/XB Z Purton · W Y So 1 3.7 SH
3 3 HAPPY VICTORY B/TT K C Leung · A T Millard 7 13.0 1-3/4
4 7 UNIVERSAL CROWN XB K Teetan · D J Whyte 6 24.0 2-3/4
5 9 FIGHTER BOY H1 C Y Ho · P F Yiu 5 4.4 3-1/2
6 4 MALDIVES XB1 B Shinn · D J Hall 9 25.0 3-3/4
7 10 GENERAL TRUMP TT A Hamelin · T P Yung 3 6.7 4
8 14 UNITED WE STAND B/TT H W Lai · C S Shum 12 108.0 4
9 11 READY CONQUEROR B- V Borges · Y S Tsui 8 63.0 4-1/4
10 6 RUN THE TABLE B-/H N Callan · K W Lui 2 210.0 4-1/4
11 5 RHAPSODY J Moreira · J Size 13 4.2 5-1/4
12 8 STOCK LEGEND B/H C Schofield · K H Ting 11 23.0 5-1/2
13 12 RED ZOFFANY SR1/TT T H So · K L Man 4 417.0 6-1/4
14 13 PERFECT HARMONY B/H1/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 10 46.0 7-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HINYUEN SWIFTNESS2. BRIGHT KID+0.1L3. HAPPY VICTORY+1.75L4. UNIVERSAL CROWN+2.75L5. FIGHTER BOY+3.5L6. MALDIVES+3.75L7. GENERAL TRUMP+4L8. UNITED WE STAND+4L9. READY CONQUEROR+4.25L10. RUN THE TABLE+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick BRIGHT KID (30.4%) finished 2nd — the winner HINYUEN SWIFTNESS was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 BRIGHT KID 30.4% 3.29 2
2 5 RHAPSODY 19.7% 5.07 11
3 10 GENERAL TRUMP 13.1% 7.63 7
4 9 FIGHTER BOY 10.1% 9.87 5
5 1 HINYUEN SWIFTNESS 5.9% 16.81 1
6 7 UNIVERSAL CROWN 5.4% 18.61 4
7 3 HAPPY VICTORY 4.2% 23.66 3
8 8 STOCK LEGEND 4.1% 24.65 12
9 13 PERFECT HARMONY 2.2% 45.04 14
10 4 MALDIVES 1.5% 68.86 6
11 14 UNITED WE STAND 1.2% 82.26 8
12 11 READY CONQUEROR 0.9% 114.81 9
13 6 RUN THE TABLE 0.8% 121.50 10
14 12 RED ZOFFANY 0.5% 202.39 13
BRIGHT KIDRHAPSODYGENERAL TRUMPFIGHTER BOYHINYUEN SWIFTNESS — wonUNIVERSAL CROWNHAPPY VICTORYSTOCK LEGENDPERFECT HARMONYMALDIVESUNITED WE STANDREADY CONQUERORRUN THE TABLERED ZOFFANY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 123

PLACE

1 37.5

2 16

3 38

QUINELLA

1,2 229.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 86.5

1,3 219.5

2,3 93.5

TIERCE

1,2,3 5,047

TRIO

1,2,3 767

FIRST 4

1,2,3,7 3,034

QUARTET

1,2,3,7 68,036

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

2,3,12/1,2,3 4,535

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2

A1

A3 22

4TH DOUBLE

3/1 805

3/2 28