沙田 · 2020-10-18
第 2場
2020-10-18沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、W Y So訓練的HANG'S DECISION勝出，贏出NOSE。MORE THAN ENOUGH獲得亞軍；CARE FREE PRINCE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.1倍大熱門COPARTNER ERA跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | HANG'S DECISION 後段發力 B 1.22.44 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 3 | 11.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 5 | MORE THAN ENOUGH 後段發力 B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 7 | 7.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 3 | CARE FREE PRINCE B K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 6 | 50.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | MARVELOUS FANS 後段發力 E C Y Ho · J Size | C Y Ho | J Size | 8 | 20.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | COPARTNER ERA 後段發力 B J Moreira · W Y So | J Moreira | W Y So | 9 | 3.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | WONDER EXPRESS 後段發力 CP/TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 14 | 9.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT 後段發力 H- M Chadwick · D J Hall | M Chadwick | D J Hall | 1 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | COLONEL 早段領放 B-/V1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 5 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | ALL JOYFUL V2 C Schofield · T P Yung | C Schofield | T P Yung | 13 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | PERFECT TO PLAY TT C Wong · C Fownes | C Wong | C Fownes | 10 | 84.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | ATHENA H/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 2 | 38.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | CENTENARY IBIS B/XB/SR1 M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 11 | 305.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | FORTUNE TRIPLE H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 4 | 226.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 1 | MERRYGOWIN B Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 3.9 | 14-1/4 |
| — | 0 | NORDIC WARRIOR A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | COPARTNER ERA | 31.4% | 3.18 | 5 |
| 2 | 1 | MERRYGOWIN | 16.9% | 5.90 | 14 |
| 3 | 6 | MARVELOUS FANS | 10.3% | 9.69 | 4 |
| 4 | 13 | WONDER EXPRESS | 6.7% | 14.91 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | ALL JOYFUL | 6.1% | 16.52 | 9 |
| 6 | 5 | MORE THAN ENOUGH | 5.4% | 18.66 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | BUNDLE OF DELIGHT | 5.3% | 18.90 | 7 |
| 8 | 12 | ATHENA | 3.8% | 26.53 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | PERFECT TO PLAY | 3.7% | 27.26 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | COLONEL | 3.5% | 28.45 | 8 |
| 11 | 3 | CARE FREE PRINCE | 3.5% | 28.80 | 3 |
| 12 | 4 | HANG'S DECISION | 2.6% | 38.65 | 1 |
| 13 | 11 | CENTENARY IBIS | 0.5% | 209.34 | 12 |
| 14 | 9 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 0.4% | 235.54 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 114.5
PLACE
3 94.5
4 34
5 20
QUINELLA
4,5 321
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 399.5
3,5 282
4,5 101.5
FORECAST
4,5 714
TIERCE
4,5,3 11,071
TRIO
3,4,5 2,479
FIRST 4
3,4,5,6 7,104
QUARTET
4,5,3,6 158,475
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
5/4 873
5/5 62
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 26
A3 —