沙田 · 2020-10-18
第 9場
2020-10-18沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、F C Lor訓練的WINNING DREAMER勝出，贏出1/2。SCORES OF FUN獲得亞軍；CHICKEN DANCE獲得季軍。頭馬以2.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WINNING DREAMER 1.08.96 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 9 | 2.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | SCORES OF FUN TT J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 12 | 5.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | CHICKEN DANCE B1 Z Purton · P O'Sullivan | Z Purton | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 2.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | CIRCUIT SIX B1 K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 6 | 42.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | TRANSCENDENT TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | MOERAKI B M Chadwick · K H Ting | M Chadwick | K H Ting | 2 | 20.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | AWE B Shinn · D A Hayes | B Shinn | D A Hayes | 5 | 50.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 13 | BRIGHT VISION B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 13 | 105.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | MASTER ALBERT B/E/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 4 | 45.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | HAPPY WARRIOR H H T Mo · C Fownes | H T Mo | C Fownes | 11 | 302.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | STARZ HERO H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 14 | 264.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | ORION PATCH B1/TT1 M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 7 | 132.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | SHOUSON PC-/B2 C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 8 | 86.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 8 | GLORIFIED FIRE TT1 A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 10 | 192.0 | 33-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SCORES OF FUN | 31.8% | 3.15 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | WINNING DREAMER | 31.8% | 3.15 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | CHICKEN DANCE | 21.2% | 4.71 | 3 |
| 4 | 14 | MASTER ALBERT | 2.5% | 39.86 | 9 |
| 5 | 12 | MOERAKI | 2.1% | 48.39 | 6 |
| 6 | 2 | TRANSCENDENT | 1.9% | 52.78 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | SHOUSON | 1.6% | 63.42 | 13 |
| 8 | 5 | AWE | 1.5% | 68.41 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | GLORIFIED FIRE | 1.4% | 72.10 | 14 |
| 10 | 13 | BRIGHT VISION | 1.2% | 81.63 | 8 |
| 11 | 4 | ORION PATCH | 0.9% | 106.77 | 12 |
| 12 | 1 | CIRCUIT SIX | 0.9% | 113.88 | 4 |
| 13 | 9 | STARZ HERO | 0.7% | 139.80 | 11 |
| 14 | 11 | HAPPY WARRIOR | 0.6% | 169.52 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 23
PLACE
3 11.5
6 12.5
10 18
QUINELLA
3,10 52
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 17.5
3,10 23
6,10 32
FORECAST
3,10 96
TIERCE
3,10,6 194
TRIO
3,6,10 40
FIRST 4
1,3,6,10 279
QUARTET
3,10,6,1 2,887
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 12.5
A2 —
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
4/3 71
4/10 50