沙田 · 2020-10-24
第 6場
2020-10-24沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的GREAT TREASURE勝出，贏出N。PERFECT TO GREAT獲得亞軍；PRECISE EXPRESS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.9倍大熱門EASY GO EASY WIN跑獲第10名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | GREAT TREASURE 後段發力 1.33.54 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · Y S Tsui | J Moreira | Y S Tsui | 4 | 7.9 | N |
| 2 | 6 | PERFECT TO GREAT 後段發力 TT1 N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 3 | 57.0 | N |
| 3 | 3 | PRECISE EXPRESS 後段發力 A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 5 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | SUPER ELEGANCE 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 11 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | TEMPEST EXPRESS 後段發力 E/TT1 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 13 | 5.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | HELENE WISDOM STAR H1/TT1 B Shinn · A S Cruz | B Shinn | A S Cruz | 9 | 24.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | RICH AND LUCKY XB K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 2 | 10.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | FARSHAD CP H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 1 | 75.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | BEAUTY DAY 早段領放 B/H K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 12 | 46.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 1 | EASY GO EASY WIN V/XB C L Chau · D J Whyte | C L Chau | D J Whyte | 7 | 3.9 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | OWNERS' STAR B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 6 | 68.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | ENZEMBLE H/XB V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 8 | 12.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 2 | ELITE PATCH B/H/TT T Piccone · K W Lui | T Piccone | K W Lui | 10 | 46.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 11 | FLYING MIGHTY Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 14 | 5.6 | 10 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | FLYING MIGHTY | 16.6% | 6.02 | 14 |
| 2 | 12 | GREAT TREASURE | 15.8% | 6.35 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | ENZEMBLE | 13.1% | 7.64 | 12 |
| 4 | 8 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 9.9% | 10.14 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | ELITE PATCH | 8.3% | 12.03 | 13 |
| 6 | 7 | FARSHAD | 6.4% | 15.52 | 8 |
| 7 | 13 | RICH AND LUCKY | 5.6% | 18.02 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | EASY GO EASY WIN | 5.2% | 19.19 | 10 |
| 9 | 3 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 5.0% | 19.89 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | SUPER ELEGANCE | 4.4% | 22.74 | 4 |
| 11 | 9 | BEAUTY DAY | 3.8% | 26.12 | 9 |
| 12 | 14 | OWNERS' STAR | 3.0% | 33.08 | 11 |
| 13 | 4 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 1.8% | 55.94 | 6 |
| 14 | 6 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 1.1% | 90.62 | 2 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 79
PLACE
3 33
6 131.5
12 26.5
QUINELLA
6,12 2,113
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 758.5
3,12 190
6,12 590
FORECAST
12,6 4,702
TIERCE
12,6,3 29,453
TRIO
3,6,12 6,958
FIRST 4
3,6,10,12 19,974
QUARTET
12,6,3,10 546,688
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 32.5
A2 —
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
2/6 230.5
2/12 274.5
TRIPLE TRIO
1,4,9/2,8,9/3,6,12 666,395
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,4,9/2,8,9/Any Combination 194