沙田 · 2020-10-24
第 2場
2020-10-24沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Hamelin策騎、C H Yip訓練的GOKO勝出，贏出1/2。ALL THE WAY獲得亞軍；COMFORT LIFE獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門GIVE WAY PLEASE跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | GOKO B/XB/TT 0.57.45 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 14 | 5.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | ALL THE WAY B/TT C Wong · A T Millard | C Wong | A T Millard | 5 | 229.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | COMFORT LIFE V-/XB/B1/TT J Moreira · F C Lor | J Moreira | F C Lor | 2 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | QIPAO BOSS H- M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 10 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 4.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | MULTIMORE TT1 K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 7 | 5.3 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | SCENIC SWEETIE H- A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 9 | 103.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | YOUNG VICTORY T Piccone · W Y So | T Piccone | W Y So | 13 | 8.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | APOLAR WARRIOR B-/CP1 K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 104.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | CRUCIATUS H-/XB1/TT B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 1 | 155.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | GIVE WAY PLEASE XB1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 12 | 3.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | VEGA RHYTHM H V Borges · L Ho | V Borges | L Ho | 4 | 149.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | ALL BEST FRIENDS B H W Lai · K L Man | H W Lai | K L Man | 6 | 97.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | WONDERFUL TIMES XB/TT H N Wong · A T Millard | H N Wong | A T Millard | 11 | 246.0 | 10-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MULTIMORE | 27.6% | 3.63 | 6 |
| 2 | 9 | COMFORT LIFE | 20.5% | 4.87 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | GIVE WAY PLEASE | 13.5% | 7.39 | 11 |
| 4 | 7 | SPARKLING DOLPHIN | 12.5% | 8.00 | 5 |
| 5 | 10 | GOKO | 8.2% | 12.21 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | YOUNG VICTORY | 4.6% | 21.60 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | QIPAO BOSS | 3.6% | 28.11 | 4 |
| 8 | 13 | VEGA RHYTHM | 3.5% | 28.18 | 12 |
| 9 | 4 | SCENIC SWEETIE | 1.7% | 58.62 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | APOLAR WARRIOR | 1.4% | 73.68 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | ALL BEST FRIENDS | 0.8% | 118.33 | 13 |
| 12 | 11 | ALL THE WAY | 0.8% | 129.34 | 2 |
| 13 | 1 | CRUCIATUS | 0.8% | 132.53 | 10 |
| 14 | 14 | WONDERFUL TIMES | 0.5% | 200.58 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 56
PLACE
9 27.5
10 18.5
11 366.5
QUINELLA
10,11 4,328.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,10 71
9,11 1,614.5
10,11 1,020
FORECAST
10,11 8,610
TIERCE
10,11,9 67,362
TRIO
9,10,11 8,374
FIRST 4
9,10,11,12 8,598
QUARTET
10,11,9,12 240,366
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
12/10 580
12/11 2,905
3 PICK 1
A2 21
A1 —
A3 —