沙田 · 2020-10-24
第 3場
2020-10-24沙田第3場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、C H Yip訓練的THE FULL BLOOM勝出，贏出3/4。RED BRICK FIGHTER獲得亞軍；ADONIS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.1倍大熱門SHANGHAI DRAGON跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | THE FULL BLOOM 後段發力 V 1.22.27 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 9 | 9.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | RED BRICK FIGHTER 後段發力 B J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 14 | 5.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 3 | ADONIS 後段發力 CP/H K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 4 | 6.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | BLAZING PARTNERS 後段發力 B C L Chau · D E Ferraris | C L Chau | D E Ferraris | 12 | 9.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | VIVA COUNCIL V- H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 1 | 31.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | SMILING SUCCESS B/TT A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 5 | 7.7 | 3 |
| 7 | 14 | FAIRY FLOSS B- K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 6 | 43.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | VITAL SPRING 後段發力 CP/TT T Piccone · K W Lui | T Piccone | K W Lui | 8 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | SHANGHAI DRAGON B Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 7 | 4.1 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | GREAT HARVEST B N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 10 | 6.5 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | MASTERWORK 早段領放 B-/H2 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 13 | 149.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 4 | PERFECT HARMONY 後段發力 B/H/TT B Shinn · A S Cruz | B Shinn | A S Cruz | 2 | 118.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 9 | COOL ACE CP-/B2 C Wong · C W Chang | C Wong | C W Chang | 11 | 125.0 | 16 |
| 14 | 5 | PLANET FLYER B M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 3 | 249.0 | 26-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 18.7% | 5.35 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | ADONIS | 17.5% | 5.71 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | SHANGHAI DRAGON | 17.4% | 5.74 | 9 |
| 4 | 2 | VITAL SPRING | 10.6% | 9.41 | 8 |
| 5 | 11 | BLAZING PARTNERS | 8.1% | 12.32 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | SMILING SUCCESS | 7.7% | 13.00 | 6 |
| 7 | 12 | GREAT HARVEST | 5.9% | 16.85 | 10 |
| 8 | 9 | COOL ACE | 3.2% | 31.22 | 13 |
| 9 | 13 | THE FULL BLOOM | 3.0% | 33.44 | 1 |
| 10 | 1 | VIVA COUNCIL | 2.6% | 38.27 | 5 |
| 11 | 14 | FAIRY FLOSS | 1.9% | 51.49 | 7 |
| 12 | 4 | PERFECT HARMONY | 1.3% | 76.30 | 12 |
| 13 | 10 | MASTERWORK | 1.2% | 82.56 | 11 |
| 14 | 5 | PLANET FLYER | 0.7% | 136.08 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 91
PLACE
3 21
6 19.5
13 23.5
QUINELLA
6,13 258
QUINELLA PLACE
3,6 78
3,13 84
6,13 87.5
FORECAST
13,6 504
TIERCE
13,6,3 2,648
TRIO
3,6,13 440
FIRST 4
3,6,11,13 432
QUARTET
13,6,3,11 10,967
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
10/6 77
10/13 444
3 PICK 1
A2 28.5
A3 —
A1 —