沙田 · 2020-10-24
第 4場
2020-10-24沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、J Size訓練的COURIER WONDER勝出，贏出5-1/4。EVERYONE'S DELIGHT獲得亞軍；SUPER MISSION獲得季軍。1.4倍大熱門EVERYONE'S DELIGHT跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | COURIER WONDER 1.08.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 6.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT CP Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 1 | 1.4 | 5-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | SUPER MISSION V Borges · P F Yiu | V Borges | P F Yiu | 4 | 7.2 | 6-3/4 |
| 4 | 10 | BRAVE POWER CP/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 9 | 16.0 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | COBY OPPA M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 171.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | PACKING APEX K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 6 | 27.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | HARD PROMISE TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 10.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | MAGIC SUPREME H-/XB/CP2/TT K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 12 | 94.0 | 10 |
| 9 | 11 | SKY TREASURE H C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 5 | 77.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | HAPPY RUBY A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 11 | 58.0 | 14 |
| 11 | 8 | RUNNING GUY H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 2 | 286.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | WIN FOR YOUTH B1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 10 | 299.0 | 17-1/2 |
| — | 0 | AION · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | EVERYONE'S DELIGHT | 38.7% | 2.58 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | COURIER WONDER | 21.8% | 4.58 | 1 |
| 3 | 9 | SUPER MISSION | 13.8% | 7.26 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | PACKING APEX | 6.2% | 16.22 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | HARD PROMISE | 5.3% | 18.81 | 7 |
| 6 | 10 | BRAVE POWER | 4.6% | 21.61 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | HAPPY RUBY | 2.8% | 36.09 | 10 |
| 8 | 2 | MAGIC SUPREME | 2.5% | 39.26 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | SKY TREASURE | 2.4% | 42.41 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | COBY OPPA | 0.9% | 107.61 | 5 |
| 11 | 12 | WIN FOR YOUTH | 0.6% | 161.86 | 12 |
| 12 | 8 | RUNNING GUY | 0.4% | 276.40 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 67.5
PLACE
1 10.5
4 16
9 15
QUINELLA
1,4 42
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 20.5
1,9 19.5
4,9 39.5
FORECAST
4,1 195
TIERCE
4,1,9 414
TRIO
1,4,9 41
FIRST 4
1,4,9,10 118
QUARTET
4,1,9,10 2,825
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,13/1,4,9 2,406
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 26
3RD DOUBLE
13/1 27
13/4 513.5